Monday, January 5, 2009

Pelfrey at risk ?

Peter Bendix of Beyond the Box score takes a look at players who maybe at risk due to the Verducci Effect. Basically if a pitcher throws more then 30 innings then he ever has before the next year he is at greater risk of injury. Bendix goes on to list 7 pitchers from last season who appear to fit into this category and then profiles 7 pitchers this year who are at risk, one of the players who makes the list is Mike Pelfrey....

Mike Pelfrey (146 IP last year, 200 this year – 54 inning increase). Pelfrey is a prime candidate to be a victim of the Verducci Effect. I can’t fault the Mets for the way they used him in 2008, since they were in a heated playoff race and Pelfrey was very effective. However, he threw many more innings than he ever had, making it fairly likely that Pelfrey will experience an injury and/or ineffectiveness in 2009. It’s far from a certainty, but if I was a Mets fan, I’d be very worried. source Beyond the box score

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