Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Beltran For Brown Trade Would Be Win/Win

With the rumor mill starting to heat up in regards to the eventual trade of Carlos Beltran, there are several teams who seem to be in the running. While as many as ten teams have been linked to inquiring about Beltran, it is the Phillies, Braves and Giants who seem to be most invested. Today, SI's Jon Heyman stated that he believes that the Phillies are the early favorite to land Beltran and also believes that the Mets will ask the Phils for their top prospect, Dominic Brown.

For anyone who isn't aware, Brown is a 23 year old Florida native who was drafted in 2006 and is currently the Phillies every day right fielder. Since being drafted, Brown has experienced solid success as he has moved through the Philadelphia farm system, hitting just shy of .300 and hitting for decent power while limiting his number of strike outs. Brown also features decent speed and has shown the ability to swipe a base or two through out the year.

Sending Carlos Beltran to the Phillies in exchange for Brown might make the average Mets fan cringe, but in reality it would likely be a win for both teams.

The Phillies are built to win now. Therefore, the acquisition of Carlos Beltran would be a 'win' in the short term and help there chances this season. Looking at their stats for this season, Beltran is hitting for better power and for a better average than Brown despite playing his games at Citi Field. A move to Citizen's Bank would likely see him reap the benefits of the small outfield both while at the plate and defensively. Futhermore, Beltran would provide the Phillies with a veteran presence come playoff time, rather that having to endure Browns expected growing pains in that situation.

The Mets on the other hand are not built to win now and are getting ready to enter a serious rebuilding phase. A player like Dominic Brown could potentially play right field for the Mets for the foreseeable future. The Mets will have time to allow Brown to mature and grow into the all-star many seem to believe he will be. Also, Brown can be had on the cheap for several years to come, allowing the front office to focus their funds in other places. Such a situation would make the acquisition of Brown a 'win' for the Mets in the long term.

Whether or not the Phillies would be willing to commit to trading Dominic Brown within the division remains to be seen. I do however don't expect the Mets to show the same hesitation. Beltran may help the Phillies win a World Series this year, but I would suspect that he would then be off to sign with an American League team in order to extend his career as a DH. Such a risk would be worth it in my opinion, if the Mets land a 'can't miss' player who would be a fixture in the lineup for years to come.

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