Monday, August 29, 2011
Signs Of Life At Citi.. Mets Sweep Double Dip!
The afternoon game at Citi Field featured what was essentially a pitchers dual between RA Dickey and Anibal Sanchez. The Mets were able to scratch ,out two runs early on as Justin Turner singled in Josh Thole in the second and Thole would turn around in the third and drive in Lucas Duda on a fielder's choice. That would be it for the Mets, as RA Dickey again received little run support but was able to keep the Marlins off balance. On the day, Dickey went 7.0 innings giving up 7 hits, but didn't allow a run. The Marlins lone run came off Bobby Parnell in the bottom of the ninth, when Gabby Sanchez hit an absolute rocket to center field leading to the final of 2-1.
The night cap of the double header was much of the same early on, as the game remained scoreless until a David Wright fielder's choice turned throwing error brought in Ruben Tejada in the fourth inning to give the Mets a one run lead. The Marlins would tie it on a Greg Dobbs solo shot in the sixth inning, before the Mets would pull away in the bottom of the inning. The Mets would eventually hang four earned runs on Marlins starter, Rickey Nolasco, putting up two in the sixth and one in the seventh. The Mets capped the scoring in the eighth inning when Mike Nickeas hit a singled to left to score Nick Evans which lead to the 5-1 final. This was the Mets' third consecutive strong pitching performance as Dillon Gee earned his career high, and team leading, twelfth win of the year.
The Mets will look to win the series tomorrow at 7:10 pm when Mike Pelfrey (7-10) faces off against Javier Vasquez (7-11).
Saturday, August 27, 2011
How Much Longer Must Mets Fans Wait?
Taking a quick glance at the rest of the NL East, the Mets find themselves with only three fewer runs scored that the dominant Philadelphia Phillies. It is for that very reason that the only immediate offensive concern should be the retention of Jose Reyes, who means as much to the overall health of this franchise as any one man really could. The offense, patched together around more injuries than we care to count, can clearly score runs. The issue, now and for the not so distant future will be the pitching.
The Mets need to do little else than look up in the standings to see what quality starting pitching can do. The Phillies are the obvious example, but the Braves starting staff has notched 12 more wins (56) than the Mets (44), despite receiving less run support (27 runs) than Mets starters. The more telling statistic would be that the Mets pitching staff as a whole has allowed 176 more runs than the Phillies staff and 123 more runs than the Braves staff...ouch!
Completely rebuilding the Mets pitching staff won't be easy and it alone is what really alters the timeline for contention that I mentioned above. The only man in the rotation at this point who would warrant long term consideration would be Jon Niese, who at only 24 years old made some progress again this year. Everyone else is a bit of a wild card. There is no telling what Johan Santana will bring with him when/if he finally returns. RA Dickey (whose been unlucky this year) and Dillon Gee, are middle to back end starters at best. The others are exactly that... others. There is no place in the future, one that involves a contending ball club, for the likes of Mike Pelfrey and Chris Capuano.
So where do the Mets go from here? With Johan Santana being the poster boy for why an organization should hesitate to issue long term contracts to pitchers, it would appear unlikely that Sandy Alderson will bring in top tier starters from the free agent market. At that point the organization would await the maturity of Matt Harvey, Zack Wheeler, Jeurys Familia and Jenrry Mejia. With each of them currently slated to reach the majors in the 2013 to 2014 time frame, and then require time to adjust it could be 2014 or later before the Mets possess the type of staff required to compete in this division.
2014...that's a long time away, but other changes would take place between now and then as well. While forecasting the future is as ineffective as it is pointless, its reasonable to think that the Phillies will have aged greatly by then and shouldn't be as formidable. The Mets on the other hand will have rid themselves of Jason Bay's bloated contract and will have likely moved on from the Angel Pagans and Jose Tholes of the world. With any luck, the team should find Ike Davis and Lucas Duda entering their prime at the same time Jose Reyes and David Wright begin to exit theirs.
So, if that becomes the recipe for success, can you stand to wait that long? Can you put up with two more "progress" minded campaigns if it lands the team in the thick of things for the foreseeable future. There is no telling how successful the Mets young arms will be (See: Generation K), but at this point from where I'm standing, they appear to be the organization's best chance at a return to greatness. I for one can stomach progress, provided we get there soon. I'd gladly accept two World Series titles by 2020 in exchange for more misery in the meantime. The pitching is the key... can you wait for it to get here?
Follow me on Twitter @RobPatterson83
Thursday, August 25, 2011
74 Wins, Not So Foolish
Mets Fever (rob patterson) - Considering I've already bet a case of beer saying they'll win 86 or more.. I'll say 87-75 & 2nd place
Mets Fever (Kieran Flemming) - 74 wins, 4th place. finishing ahead of the Nationals.
patterson, in the hackneyed mess he attempted to pass off as a blog post, went on to insult my intelligence and criticize my realistic approach. I quote, "More surprising is that Mets Fever's own, Kieran Flemming, provided the bleakest forecast of all, besting resident pessimist Greg Pomes for that unwanted title."
Yeah... Regular readers, I'd like the three of you to turn your attention to the side bar. Now scroll down to the middle of the page. Can we all see the date the beer bet was last updated by mr. patterson? August 2nd. Almost four weeks have passed since he updated the standing of the wager, and it does not take much imagination to figure out why that might be. The Mets, currently 61-68, have a .473 winning percentage, which over 162 games would total 76 wins. Considering how they've been scuffling lately, dropping two games below that number is certainly feasible.
Before the season, optimism and wild card talk was running rampant with Met fans. Every time I talked to one, when I mentioned that I thought the team was as bad or worse than last year's, I was being ridiculous. A blasphemer! It was as though I had told them I could see Russia from my house. (I can't.)
They all seemed to think that a team that lost its ace could somehow improve over last year's squad. A team with a rotation whose best pitcher, Chris Young, was as durable as a wet paper towel, would contend for the wild card. A team that clearly planned on dealing some of its best players to cut payroll was going to stay strong down the stretch and continue to win games. Jose Reyes was going to stay healthy, Pelfrey had turned the corner, Bobby Parnell wasn't a head case, and David Wright was going to be able to reach the outside of the plate this year.
Uh-huh. I would have loved to be wrong, but it really seemed to be pretty easy to pick. I don't think the organization is a lost cause, and I am not calling for anybody's head. The team is in the process of rebuilding, and so far, I like the way they are going about it. But this year was not going to be good.
I'm gonna go decide what kind of beer I want.
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Would Mets move Johan to the pen
It's funny I've read varied medical opinions on pitching, some say that pitching every five days on a consistent and regular schedule even though it means 100 pitches an outing is less stressful then inconsistent relief work. Meanwhile, others argue that despite the irregular use, only making 20 pitches an outing is better for a player's recovery.
It doesn't help that there isn't much data in regards to the injury Johan is attempting to comeback from, with something like T.J. surgery they know exactly what the course of action is but this shoulder surgery is so rare that they really have nothing to go by. Chien Ming Wang is still attempting to comeback two years after the same surgery.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Pre-Game 128: New York Mets(60-67) @ Philadelphia Phillies(81-44)
Around The Minors From 8/22/2011
Triple-A - Buffalo Bisons (57-72, 5th place ) - The Bisons defeated Columbus by the score of 6-4. 2B Jordany Valdespin had a huge day offensively as he went 2-4, with a 2B, 3 RBI, and a Runs scored. Miguel Batista started for the Bison and was somewhat effective. Through 5.1 IP, he allowed 4 ER on 9 hits and 2 walks. He also struck out 2. Batista could very well be promoted to the Major League club next week to make a spot start in the Mets upcoming double-header with the Marlins.
Monday, August 22, 2011
Post-Game: Mets Get Steam Rolled By Phillies
- David Wright went 1-4.
- Lucas Duda went 2-4.
- Ruben Tejada went 2-3.
Pre-Game: Game 127 - New York Mets VS Philadelphia Phillies
After being swept 3 straight games at home by the 1st place Milwaukee Brewers, the Mets will hit the road and open a 3 game series this evening with the 1st place Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. The Mets have now lost 15 of their last 20 games and sit in 4th place in the NL East. Meanwhile the Phillies just keep on rolling as they sport the best record in all of baseball at 81-44.
On the mound for the Mets will be right-hander Dillon Gee (11-4, 3.92). Gee was excellent in his last start in San Diego as he allowed only 1 run over 6.2 innings. In his career against Philadelphia, Gee is 1-0, with a 6.23 ERA.
Toeing the rubber for the Phillies tonight will be ace #2, left-hander Cliff Lee (13-7, 2.82). Lee has been almost unhittable as of late as he is 4-0 over his last 4 GS. During that span he has given up only 6 ER over 31.2 innings pitched. In his career against New York, Lee is 1-0, with a 0.64 ERA over 14 innings of work.
For the (81-44) Philadelphia Phillies:
1. Shane Victorino CF
2. Placido Polanco 3B
3. Chase Utley 2B
4. Ryan Howard 1B
5. Hunter Pence RF
6. Raul Ibanez LF
7. Carlos Ruiz C
8. Wilson Valdez SS
9. Cliff Lee P
For the (60-66) New York Mets:
1. Angel Pagan CF
2. Justin Turner 2B
3. David Wright 3B
4. Jason Bay LF
5. Lucas Duda 1B
6. Scott Hariston RF
7. Ronny Paulino C
8. Ruben Tejada SS
9. Dillon Gee P
LET'S GO METS!
Was Beato worth the spot..
| Photo by Michael Baron |
If the Mets were to attempt to send Beato down, despite being a first year major leaguer they would have to place him on waivers and if no other team claimed him, they would then have to offer him back to Baltimore. Only if no one claimed him and the Orioles couldn't find room on their 40 man roster would the Mets be allowed to send him to Buffalo.
Of course, the Mets could place him on the DL with arm fatigue but they would then risk him ending the year on the DL if he couldn't get going in Sept., instead of the confidence boost of finishing the year with the team.
More than likely Beato will get buried in the pen, where he'll be allowed to limp to the finishing line of the season, the question stands to be asked; was Beato worth the roster spot. There is no question he's a talented pitcher as fans have debated whether he should be a starter since he has four quality pitches or a closer because of his dominance at times.
Still he's 24 y/o hadn't pitched above AA and the Orioles left him off the 40 man roster because they were just in the process of turning him into a reliever after he failed in the lower levels as a starter.
So they are going to limit his use because his arm is tired and that's with a 4.09 ERA, in 55 innings he has 33 SO and 23 walks. Those numbers present a mediocre middle reliever not a guy talked about as a starter or closer or someone who demands a roster spot.
But a closer look at the numbers seems to indicate that the numbers are a bit deceiving and the Mets may have found something in Beato. When 100% Pedro has been dominant it's when he's been banged up that his numbers get skewed.
In his first ten appearances he didn't allow a run and held the opposition’s hitters to .156 BAA. It was in May where he battled right elbow tendinitis where his ERA ballooned to 6.23 and batters hit .294. But after a stint on the DL he improved his BAA to .205 and in July he was dominant again reducing his ERA to 1.80 in 10 innings and holding batters to a .184 BAA. Now as fatigue has set in his ERA is back to a high 7.45 and hitters are batting .306 against him.
Around The Minors From 8/21/2011
Triple-A - Buffalo Bisons (56-72, 5th place ) - The Bisons defeated Columbus by the score of 10-2. DH Zach Lutz went 2-4, with a HR (10), 3 RBI, and 3 Runs scored.
Collins wants bullpen help now...
| Photo By Michael Baron |
I don't think it's about winning or losing, more about finishing strong and maintaining the positive team psyche, especially for those returning next year.
Collins spoke after yesterday's lose and said he would be speaking to Alderson about getting bullpen reinforcements immediately, instead of waiting.
“I don’t think there’s any question about it. It’s going to be discussed,” Collins said after his relief corps allowed four runs in two innings Sunday and suffered its sixth loss this month, matching the highest total in the majors. source ESPN NYAs far as who could go the team seems very limited on the moves they can make; if they send D.J. Carrasco down it would be his second time and could opt out while the Mets are stuck paying him, Beato as a rule five has to make it through waivers and be offered back to Baltimore, Byrdak and Izzy would have to be released since they were claimed and pulled back, and Parnell seems unlikely since they want to see him close.
If Alderson appeases Collins then the Manny Acosta or Ryota Igarashi would be the most likely candidates to be sent down. Igarashi is a free agent at the end of the year, has a 5.32 ERA and most certainly isn't in the Mets plans moving forward. Acosta on the other hand has three more years of control, where he'll cost very little and has shown flashes at times of being a decent middle reliever. Although he'll tie up a roster spot next year because he's out of options I could see them at least wanting him in spring training and sticking around as a project.
Collins indicated that he would like to see double A pitcher Josh Stinson called up over several of the guys already given a chance who are now in AAA, I'd like to see Lujan given an opportunity.
Sunday, August 21, 2011
Post-Game: Mets lose 6-2, Swept by Milwaukee
- Angel Pagan went 2-4 with a 2B.
- Lucas Duda went 1-4 and hit his 6th HR of the year.
Pre-Game: Game 126 - Milwaukee Brewers VS New York Mets
The Mets will look to avoid a 3 game sweep at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers this afternoon at Citi Field. After coming back from a 7-1 deficit to take a 9-7 lead after 8 innings, Jason Isringhausen couldn't hold it as the Brewers scored 4 times and eventually won 11-9.
News: Jose Reyes
According to Adam Rubin of ESPN New York, Jose Reyes will play in more than 1 rehab game this week. Manager Terry Collins said it will likely be at Double-A Binghamton or Triple-A Buffalo.
Friday, August 19, 2011
Pre-Game: Game 124 - Milwaukee Brewers VS New York Mets
After going 2-4 in Arizona and San Diego the Mets return home to take on the red hot Milwaukee Brewers. In their last 10 games, the Brew Crew are 8-2 and sport the best home record in the big leagues at 47-16. Tonight will mark the return of Francisco Rodriguez to New York as the right-handed reliever was traded to MIL during the all-star break.
On the mound for the Mets tonight will be right-hander Mike Pelfrey (6-9, 4.58). Pelfrey was removed from his most recent start after four innings after getting hit on his pitching elbow by a line drive during Saturday's 6-4 loss at Arizona. He gave up three runs and four hits. The right-hander made a rare relief appearance during Tuesday's 6-1 loss to the Padres, yielding a run and two hits in one-third of an inning. Pelfrey is 0-1 with a 5.11 ERA over two career home starts against the Brewers.
Toeing the rubber for the Brewers will be right-hander Shaun Marcum (10-3, 3.50). Marcum has been terrific on the road as of late, going 5-1 with a 2.35 ERA over his last 11 starts. The right-hander is unbeaten in his past eight outings overall after going 7 2-3 innings in Sunday's 2-1, 10-inning victory over Pittsburgh. Marcum was outstanding in his only career start versus the Mets on June 7 but didn't get a decision, giving up two hits in six scoreless innings of a 2-1 win.
Game time is scheduled for 7:10 PM. Here are the starting lineups:
For the (73-52) Milwaukee Brewers:
Must read- Sickels on Josh Satin
A look back at this off-seasons biggest flop by the Mets..
By the way Louie isn't playing this year since being cut bu Philly, Ollie is with the Nats AA team where he's made 12 starts to a 3.28 ERA and in 57 innings has SO 42 while walking 19.
Maybe you could say taking the risk on Chris Young was the biggest flop, since he was an injury risk and only made four starts before going down. But the Mets didn't pay much for his services, in those four games he did pitch to a 1.88 ERA and by most accounts was a positive influence on the pitching staff.
I say the biggest bust ( which isn't saying much) was Michael Antonini for Chin-Lung Hu. The gave up a young lefty who wasn't in their plans for what they thought was a slick fielding middle infielder.
At best Antonini is probably a LOOGY but might be more like a AAAA pitcher who might get a few tries because he's left handed. Antonini is currently pitching for the Dodgers AA team, he's made 24 starts with a record of 9-8 and an ERA of 3.94.
Meanwhile Chin-Lung Hu appeared in 22games with the Mets at the start of the season where he hit .050, he was suppose to be Murphy's defensive caddy but he was so bad at the plate he couldn't be justified even as a defensive replacement.
After his demotion to Buffalo he cont. his lack of offense with a .194 BA, but it wasn't his bat that got him demoted all the way to the Gold Coast league. Apparently Hu developed a case of the throwing yips, so now he's a 27 y/o in single A hitting .182 who can't throw but can catch the ball really well.
In all fairness to the Mets decision makers, from 2004-2007 ( when Depo was in LA) he was a minor league All-Star 11 times between all the different leagues and a future stars game MVP.
What about moving Bay to RF and Duda to LF
| Photo by Michael Baron |
I'm taking for granted that Ike Davis will be back and that he'll be the starting 1B, I know that's probably a huge leap of faith based on this team's track record with injuries but it would be shocking if he's not back. Davis came out of college as a potential corner outfielder or 1B but I think the Mets will keep him at 1B unless they believe the corner outfield will be less demanding on his repaired ankle.
If Davis moves to RF this post is a moot point as Duda will be at first with Bay in LF.
I'm also taking into consideration the speculation that the LF wall will more then likely be lower making the position easier to play, balls will be either out or catchable, the great wall of Queens won't be there for balls to take unusual bounces. Those same rumors have indicated that the Mo Zone will remain which means that RF will continue to be a difficult spot to play.
I don't think Bay is a fragile player, whatever the reason for his struggles; injuries, post concussion, self imposed pressure or Citi Field I don't think it had to do with not being able to handle NY. It made sense to leave Bay alone in LF while he got his offense together but now that he's hitting again, I think it might be time to consider a move to RF.
Of the everyday outfielders Bay is the best defensive corner outfielder, so it would make sense to use him in the harder corner. Moving forward I think they want Duda, because of his power potential to be the other corner outfielder. Duda will obviously cover less ground, has had struggles with confidence and says he's most comfortable in LF.
Here's what I would do, take the next 40 games to see how Bay adjusts to RF and Duda handles LF so that going into the off-season you know whether you need to pick-up a RF or not. 1B can be piece worked between Baxter, Harris, Hairston and Evans.
Around The Minors From 8/18/2011
Triple-A - Buffalo Bisons (53-72, 5th place ) - The Bisons were shutout by Toledo 4-0. Josh Satin went 2-5 in the loss and continues to rake at the plate since his promotion from Double-A. He is now hitting .350 for the Bisons.
Thursday, August 18, 2011
Around The Minors From 8/17/2011
Triple-A - Buffalo Bisons (53-71, 5th place ) - The Bisons defeated Toledo by the score of 4-2 last night. SP Miguel Batista lasted 8 innings and allowed only 2 runs (1ER) while striking out 6.
Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Pre-Game 123: New York Mets(59-63) @ San Diego Padres (55-69)
Dillon Gee(10-4, 4.07 ERA) has been struggling to find his success he was able to maintain prior to the All Star break during his last several outing, posting an ERA over 5 in his last 10 starts while going 3-4 during that stretch. During his last outing, Gee allowed 4 runs over 5 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, getting rocked by Justin Upton in the first inning and struggling to finish strongly. He'll look to get back on track tonight in pitcher friendly Petco Park.
Mat Latos(6-11, 3.80 ERA) struggled to find any command early in the year, looking like a far cry from the dominant pitcher he proved he could be last year. Latos has turned it around big time as of late, posting a 3.20 ERA in his 6 starts since the All Star break. Latos is coming off of an impressive outing against the Cincinnati Reds in which he allowed just 2 runs in 7 innings. Latos hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in his last 9 starts.
New York Mets Starting Lineup:
1. Angel Pagan CF
2. Willie Harris 2B
3. David Wright 3B
4. Lucas Duda 1B
5. Jason Bay LF
6. Jason Pridie RF
7. Josh Thole C
8. Ruben Tejada SS
9. Dillon Gee P
San Diego Padres Starting Lineup:
1. Will Venable RF
2. Jason Bartlett SS
3. Cameron Maybin CF
4. Jesus Guzman 1B
5. Orlando Hudson 2B
6. Logan Forsythe 3B
7. Aaron Cunningham RF
8. Rob Johnson C
9. Mat Latos P
Around The Minors From 8/16/2011
Triple-A - Buffalo Bisons (52-71, 5th place ) - The Bisons defeated Toledo by the score of 3-2. 3B Zach Lutz went 2-4, with a HR (8), RBI, and 2 Runs scored.
Padres Embarrass Mets, Lose 6-1
Despite having a quality outing, Jonathan Niese was unable to secure the victory due to a poor defensive effort from the club and a lackluster effort from the offensive front.
Boiling Points:
- Jonathan Niese(11-10, 4.05 ERA) dropped another decision despite pitching 6 innings and allowing only 3 runs. Niese surrendered 10 hits and struck out only 3 but was victim of poor defense from Scott Hairston and Angel Pagan.
- Mike Pelfrey came out in relief and failed to do his job, surrendering a run in 1/3 of an inning. Pelfrey is now sporting a fancy 4.58 ERA, not bad for the "Ace".
- Pedro Beato was bombed, allowing 2 runs and 3 hits in an inning of work. Beato was doomed after allowing a solo home run from Cameron Maybin. Tim Byrdak and DJ Carrasco both pitched 1/3 of an inning to conclude the rout.
- Ruben Tejada drove in the Mets only run with a RBI double and went 2-2 on the night with a walk.
- Jason Bay continues to struggle, going 0-4 and is now 0 for his last 16.
Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Pre-Game 122: New York Mets @ San Diego Padres
The two that got away Mathews and Robbins...
Most experts said the Mets had a very nice/solid draft; it appears that the old philosophy of staying in slot, making picks based on signability wasn't a factor in this year's selections. The Mets took some risks based on players potential and then went out there and signed them ( for the most part).
I thought last year's draft was solid, producing Matt Harvey and signing every selection all the way to the 20th round where Dabias Johnson turned them down. Many of those players are making a name for themselves in our farm, like Cory Vaughn, Matt Den Dekker and Greg Peavey.
But in years passed the draft was a subject of consternation amongst a fan base that loves their home grown talent. In 2009 there was the questionable first pick (2nd round) of Steve Matz, then 5th rounder Magnifico and 6th rounder Buchanan didn't sign. 2008 was another solid draft except for first rounder Reese Havens looking like a injury flop. In 2007 the top three picks have all been busts in Eddie Kunz, Nathan Vineyard and Scott Moviel. In 2006 five of the top 20 picks didn't sign but more importantly Daniel Murphy (13th round) and Tobi Stoner ( 16th round) are the only players to make it to the majors and not a single draftee is considered a prospect from that draft.
Of course if you go back to 2005 that draft produced Mike Pelfrey, Jon Niese, Josh Thole, Bobby Parnell, and Pedro Beato ( via rule 5).
So in my opinion this draft seems to be a success but it didn't go without disappointment, two solid picks choose school instead of signing with the Mets.
Kent Mathews is an 18y/o Left handed pitcher who was selected in the 12th round and had a committment to Cal-Fullerton. Mathews opted to go college where many Cal-Fullerton pitchers go higher then the 12th round especially as a lefty. For what I've read Mathews sounds more like a finesse lefty then a high potential type of guy. However, he did well this year using four pitches with a mid-90s fastball.
He has allowed only 12 runs (seven earned runs), 38 hits and three doubles, with no home runs allowed, in 50 innings pitched. He has struck out 61 batters and walked six.
And he's done it with wicked speed. His fastball has reached 93 miles per hour. He also features a slider, curve, and change-up. source Diamond bar PatchA prep arm, lefty that was recruited by a collegiate powerhouse is a mild disappointment but it sounds like mason Robbins is the real miss for the Mets of this draft.
Jim Callis: I like the way the Mets came out and went after upside. They loved Brandon Nimmo and grabbed him at 13, or else someone would have taken him at the bottom of the first round. Michael Fulmer got overshadowed by Dylan Bundy and Archie Bradley in Oklahoma this spring, but he has a quality arm. If they sign Phillip Evans (15th round) and Mason Robbins (20th), that would be a nice coup. source Baseball AmericaMeanwhile, former George County star Mason Robbins also declined a last-minute flirtation with the New York Mets and elected to stick with his commitment to Southern Miss, his father, Mike, confirmed to The Mississippi Press via text message. Robbins, a power-hitting center fielder, was a 20th-round pick by the Mets in June.
Mason Robbins will play at Southern Miss for the next three seasons, rather than sign with the New York Mets. (Joshua Dahl/Correspondent)
"Mason going to USM," Mike Robbins wrote. "They got close, but didn't happen. He really wants to go to college first." source gulflive
Resigning Reyes May Have No Effect On Mets Return To Relevancy
Finding a catcher who is sound defensively and a better all-around choice at second base should be major priorities prior to the start of next season. Josh Thole's once bright future has dwindled over time as his struggles at the plate have been dwarfed by his struggles behind it. The Murphy/Turner/Harris experiment at second base has had little overall success. While Murphy and Turner have shown their value in the batter's box, they do not seem to be everyday options in the field.
Additionally, the team's outfield core is by no means set in stone going forward. Jason Bay, when not hurt, has struggled through the first half of his now clearly mistaken four year contract. Angel Pagan has taken steps backwards, showing little progress at the plate and often looking lost in the outfield. Finally, Lucas Duda seems to be the team's best option for 2012 in right field, but is by no means a mature major leaguer and often struggles mightily defensively. While each might be palatable in their own right, do they collectively make up the outfield of a contending ball club?
As if that wasn't enough, all of those concerns could really take a back seat to figuring out the team's pitching staff. First and foremost, the team still lacks an ace because there is no telling how effective Johan Santana will be when and if he eventually returns. The middle of the rotation options are still unproven as Dillon Gee's ceiling is still a mystery and R.A. Dickey, who admittedly has received minimal run support this year, seems to have regressed as well. In all reality, Jon Niese's progress is the only sure thing the organization can claim from the 2011 rotation.
How each of these needs is addressed will ultimately determine whether or not retaining Jose Reyes really matters. Should Reyes stay with the Mets, the organization will likely have committed $20 million annually to his cause. Will this leave enough in the Wilpon's wallet to go out and sign the players necessary to fill these holes or will the Mets have to wait to fill these needs from within? Better yet, would quality free agents want to come to Queens if there is no clear path to playoff baseball?
If the Mets have to, or even chose to wait for their prospects to mature, it could be 2014 or 2015 before the Mets' lineup and rotation are a threat to the rest of the division...and that's IF everyone arrive and matures on schedule. There is help on the horizon in the likes of Matt Harvey and Zack Wheeler, but waiting on those prospects will have wasted the first two or more years of Jose's next contract. At that rate, it could be more advisable to seek other options at shortstop, because Jose will be running on thirty year old legs and be in the process of exiting his prime.
Jose Reyes is a great player, a perennial all-star and he is going to be nearly irreplaceable, but does retaining him really matter if the front office cannot build around him for the foreseeable future? This team needs the type of overhaul that cannot be completed through a repeat of last winter, when Sandy Alderson collected what should have been accessory players while sifting through the bargain bin of baseball free agency. Sandy and company must find a faster route to legitimacy or resigning Jose Reyes won't really matter because he will no longer be the game changer we see today.
The sad fact is, whether Jose stays or goes...the Mets may not be a playoff caliber baseball team for years to come. Such a realization really alters the urgency to resign Reyes. He alone cannot win a pennant and if the organization doesn't have the means necessary to add those additional pieces, they should simply let him walk and focus their resources elsewhere. It’s a sad fact.. but it might be reality.
Izzy Records 300th Save as Mets Win in 10
It didn't come easy for Isringhausen, who was drafted in the 44th round of the 1991 draft by the New York Mets, to record his 300th save. Izzy allowed a walk to Orlando Hudson before Nick Hundley, who represented the winning run, lined a single. After Alberto Gonzalez advanced the runners to 2nd and 3rd on a ground out, Izzy was able to put away Logan Forsythe on a ground ball that Ruben Tejada almost misplayed to end the game.
The Mets played a hard game, playing solid offense and defense to escape their drought.
Boiling Points:
- R.A Dickey was unable to secure a victory despite being handed a 4-1 lead. Dickey pitched 6 1/3 effective innings, allowing 3 runs and 7 hits while striking out 4 and only walking 1.
- Bobby Parnell continues to be shaky, allowing a run in 1 2/3 innings to raise his ERA to 4.31. Manny Acosta pitched a scoreless 9th before Jason Isringhausen recorded his 300th career save in the 10th inning.
- Lucas Duda hit his 2nd home run in as many nights, crushing one about 20 rows deep into right field. Duda contributed 3 hits and was intentionally walked. Duda is now hitting .287 on the year and has driven in 8 runs in his last 10 games. Duda has been doing it all, including on defense, where he channeled his inner Ike Davis by making a spectacular play by reaching over the dugout.
- Josh Thole hit his 3rd home run of the year, a 2-run blast to the short porch in right field to extend the Mets lead early on. David Wright was seen jumping up and down in the dugout.
- Jason Pridie made a nice diving effort to prevent a base hit early in the game, walked 3 times and scored 3 runs. Pridie's speed and ability to get on base were big factors in the Mets pulling out the victory.
- Scott Hairston hit the go-ahead ground out RBI to bring the Mets up 5-4 in the 10th inning.
- Jason Bay has gone cold again, going 0-4 on the night.
Monday, August 15, 2011
Pre-Game 121: New York Mets(58-62) @ San Diego Padres(54-68)
R.A Dickey(5-11, 3.75 ERA) will look to add a win to his season tonight against the San Diego Padres, a team he's 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA against in his career. Dickey has been very consistent as of late, posting a 4.15 in the second half of the season but was able to limit the San Diego Padres to 3 runs in 6 innings during his last outing. Dickey's foe, Aaron Harang, had an ERA that's .2 points higher and 6 more wins on the season.
Aaron Harang(11-3, 3.95 ERA) was roughed up in his last start against the Mets but picked up the victory as he managed to limit the Mets to 3 runs despite giving up 10 hits in his 5 2/3 innings. Harang has had a rough go at it the second half of the season, posting an ERA of over 5.
New York Mets Starting Lineup:
1. Angel Pagan CF
2. Justin Turner 2B
3. David Wright 3B
4. Lucas Duda 1B
5. Jason Bay LF
6. Jason Pridie RF
7. Josh Thole C
8. Ruben Tejada SS
9. R.A Dickey P
San Diego Padres Starting Lineup:
1. Will Venable RF
2. Jason Bartlett SS
3. Cameron Maybin CF
4. Orlando Hudson 2B
5. Kyle Blanks 1B
6. Orlando Hudson 2B
7. Aaron Cunningham LF
8. Logan Forsythe 3B
9. Aaron Harang P
Around The Minors From 8/14/2011
Triple-A - Buffalo Bisons (51-69, 5th place ) - The Bisons game with Durham was postponed due to rain.
News: Johan Santana
According to Jon Heyman of SI.com, Johan Santana flew back to Port St. Lucie yesterday and will begin a throwing program soon.
Analysis: This is great news. It is highly unlikely that we see Santana in a Mets uniform this year; however, the main concern right now is getting him healthy and strong enough to be the opening day starter in 2012.
Verrett also not signed...
But their third round pick RHP Scott Logan Verrett is also not signed, according to Verrett's twitter account he was in NY for a physical.
And then for added hints he took a picture of Citi Field from the plane.
Still he's back in Texas and there's no word on how close they are to signing him, for those interested here's a scouting video of him pitching courtesy MLB.com.
- Simple delivery with high leg kick
- High 3/4 arm-slot
- Fastball had more life (arm-side run) when kept low in the zone, but tended to straighten out when elevated
- Change-up had good action: arm-side run and downward movement
- Disguised slider very well with late vertical break
- Also showed 12-6 curve ball; less advanced than other two secondaries
- Pitched off of his fastball
- Generally around the strike zone, but didn't have much command in this outing
source Bullpen Bantor
Sunday, August 14, 2011
Mets will get a look at Marquez...
Marquez is a stud Texas prospect in both Football ( RB) and baseball ( SS), it appears the Mets will get a two month try out to evaluate his baseball skills while trying to convince him that the longevity of their sports is better for him in the long run.
He did have an elbow injury his junior year of High School. You have to give the Mets credit for this creative way of signing a guy who was returning to school and probably destine for the early rounds of the NFL draft.
There is the chance that Marquez could attempt to be a dual sport player, he will be playing football for Texas Tech. but he also sounds excited about the prospect of playing baseball in the Mets org....
“It’s exciting,” he said. “I’ve been playing baseball my whole life. To finally get drafted and have a chance to become a pro athlete finally is exciting. You can never take that away. I did get drafted and not a whole lot of people can say that.” OA online source
Capuano clears waivers makes sense for the D-Backs...
| Photo by Michael Baron |
Most teams place many of their players on waivers, especially those teams who are out of the race. It allows them to gauge interest in a player and if the player makes in through successfully, they can freely trade them.
Mets Lose, Streak Now 5
- Angel Pagan went 3-5
- Lucas Duda went 2-3 including his 4th HR of the year.
- Capuano was serviceable today, allowing 4 runs over 6 innings while taking the loss.
Will Nimmo Sign?
Pre-Game 120: New York Mets(58-61) @ Arizona Diamondbacks(67-53)
This afternoon at 4:10 PM ET, The New York Mets will look to salvage the final game of their 3 game series against the National League West leading Arizona Diamondbacks.
Chris Capuano(9-10, 4.51 ERA) will have a tough task at hand keeping the Arizona Diamondbacks at bay this afternoon, coming off of a string of rough starts. Perhaps Capuano's fatigue can be contributed to not having pitched a full season since 2007, but Capuano has posted a 5.81 ERA following the All Star Break, almost 2 runs higher than his 4.12 ERA during the first half of the season. During his last 5 outings, Capuano has only allowed less than 4 runs on 1 occasion and has seen his ERA rise by nearly half a number. Capuano was shaky during his last outing against San Diego, allowing 4 runs in 6 innings.
Jason Marquis(8-6, 4.48 ERA) is looking to make his mark on the Diamondbacks, having allowed 11 earned runs over his first 2 starts with his new club since the deadline. Marquis has only pitched 4 innings in each of his last 2 outings but was able to limit the Mets to 3 earned runs in 7 innings earlier this year with the Washington Nationals.
New York Mets Starting Lineup:
1. Angel Pagan CF
2. Justin Turner 2B
3. David Wright 3B
4. Lucas Duda 1B
5. Jason Bay LF
6. Josh Thole C
7. Jason Pridie 1B
8. Ruben Tejada SS
9. Chris Capuano P
Around The Minors From 8/13/2011
Triple-A - Buffalo Bisons (51-69, 5th place ) - The Bisons defeated Durham by the score of 7-6 last night. Designated Hitter Val Pascucci continued his fantastic season as he went 3-3, with a HR (18), 3 RBI, and 2 Runs scored in the win.
Saturday, August 13, 2011
Pre-Game 119: New York Mets(58-60) @ Arizona Diamondbacks(66-53)
Mike Pelfrey(6-9, 4.53 ERA) will take the mound at Chase Field tonight after making the following comments about the Mets chances in 2011:
"It’s unrealistic for anybody at the end of last year to come in and say, ‘The Mets, this is a one-year thing, next year we’re going to win it all…It’s unrealistic.”Pelfrey has, to put it nicely, struggled in his career at Chase Field, posting an ERA over 9. As of late, Pelfrey has definitely been much better on the mound, posting a formidable 3.80 ERA over his last 10 starts. Pelfrey struggled during his last outing against the San Diego Padres, allowing 4 runs in 6 1/3 innings.
Daniel Hudson(11-8, 3.83 ERA) will look to continue the Diamondbacks winning streak tonight, coming off of a less than impressive performance himself against the Houston Astros in which he was hammered for 4 runs and 11 hits in 3 innings. Hudson has seemed to tire as the season has worn on, posting an ERA over 4 in the second half thus far.
New York Mets Starting Lineup:
1. Angel Pagan CF
2. Willie Harris 2B
3. David Wright 3B
4. Lucas Duda 1B
5. Jason Bay LF
6. Ronny Paulino C
7. Mike Baxter RF
8. Ruben Tejada SS
9. Mike Pelfrey P
Around The Minors From 8/12/2011
Triple-A - Buffalo Bisons (50-69, 5th place ) - The Bisons defeated Durham by the score of 3-2. C Mike Nickeas went 2-3, with an RBI and a Run scored in the win.
Falling Short: Mets Fall To D'Backs 4-3
Dillon Gee(10-4, 4.07 ERA) struggled early in the game, not mixing his pitches effectively as he allowed 4 runs in the first 2 innings before settling down. Gee allowed a solo home run to Justin Upton in the bottom of the first inning that put the Mets behind for the remainder of the game. Since reaching his season low 2.86 ERA on June 15th, Gee's ERA rests a touch above 4 on August 13th. Having thrown over 200 innings last year, it's becoming more apparent that Gee is pitching to his capabilities rather than tiring down the stretch. Limiting the offensive powerhouse D'Backs after the first two innings was a step in the right direction that he'll need to continue to have a strong end of the year.
Boiling Points:
- Ian Kennedy picked up his 15th win of the year, limiting the Mets to 1 run over 7 strong innings of work.
- The Mets bullpen was efficient, Ryota Igarashi, Timy Byrdak and Manny Acosta combining for 3 scoreless innings to keep the Mets in the game.
- Angel Pagan returned to the lineup and had 2 hits on the night, an encouraging sign coming off of back spasms.
- Jason Bay continues to stay hot, collecting 3 hits and driving in 1 of the Mets 3 runs.
- David Wright continues to be pitched around in an offensively challenged lineup, drawing 2 walks but going 0-3 otherwise.
- Willie Harris collected an RBI single out of the 2nd spot.
- Lucas Duda was contained hitting cleanup, leaving 3 men on base.
- Josh Thole left 5 men on base and went 0-4 on the night.
Friday, August 12, 2011
Pre-Game 118: New York Mets(58-59) @ Arizona Diamondbacks(65-53)
Pelfrey and Pagan gone for 2012?
With the 2011 season winding down and the Mets seemingly eliminated from playoff contention, it’s time to look at the potential 2012 roster. We know that David Wright, Ike Davis, Justin Turner, Daniel Murphy, Jason Bay, Josh Thole, Johan Santana, Jon Niese, and R.A. Dickey will all be part of the 2012 Mets. However, if you take a closer look at that list, I left off two names that many might expect to be part of the 2012 roster, Mike Pelfrey and Angel Pagan.
Mike Pelfrey has quickly gone from a budding star to a right-handed carbon copy of Oliver Perez. After flashing his potential brilliance to begin the 2010 season, he has tremendously digressed to the point of being considered a non-tendered player. In his first year of arbitration eligibility, Pelfrey came to an agreement with the Mets on a 1 year deal worth close to $4M. A deal that at the time looked like a bargain for a pitcher who went 15-9, with 3.66 ERA. After the 2012 season, Pelfrey will be arbitration eligible for the 2nd time. This time however, things will be a little different. Pelfrey has been downright brutal in 2011 as his 6-9, 4.53 record and ERA would indicate. Usually as players increase in arbitration eligibility they receive a raise from the previous year. In Pelfrey’s case, how do you justify giving a pitcher with his 2011 stats a contract of over $4M per year? Unless Pelfrey settles for less, I think his contract negotiations have a chance to get very ugly, potentially leading to him being non-tendered. However, the one thing the Mets must keep in mind regarding Pelfrey is that he is only 27 years of age. He is still young and has plenty of time to get his career on the right track.
Angel Pagan is in a very similar situation as Mike Pelfrey. Pagan finally was able to stay healthy and show off the skill set that many people thought he had when he was originally drafted. Coming off a career year (.290 AVE, 11 HR, 69 RBI, 80 R, 37 SB), Pagan was anointed the starting CF. For the first time in his career Pagan no longer had to fight his way on to a major league club. People expected him to build on his 2010 season and really take the next step to being an important piece of the organization’s future. However, it has not panned out that way in 2011. Pagan has struggled all year (.247 AVE, .314 OBP) and has also battled several minor injuries. Pagan will be entering his 4th year of arbitration and made $3.5M in 2011. So the question is asked about Pagan the same way it was asked with Pelfrey. Is he worth between $4M-$5M per year? Unlike Pelfrey, I feel Pagan is much more at risk of being let go. There have been rumblings in the tabloids that Pagan is not exactly a favorite of Sandy Alderson and the new front office. Unlike Pelfrey, youth is no longer on his side as he is 30 years old and has really only proved himself to be productive in 1 season (2010). The big question is will his agent try and negotiate his contract based off his solid 2010 campaign? Or will he understand that there is a new regime in place in New York that was not here for 2010 and accept a contract similar to what Pagan had in 2011. Only time will tell.