Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Mets inquired about Bailey...

Joel Sherman is reporting that the Mets inquired about Andrew Bailey, who Oakland recently made available.  The 27 y/o right handed closer has compiled 75 saves in his first three seasons, to an ERA of 2.07.  He's only pitched 40 something innings the past two seasons but still has three years of control left.  Billy Beane is notorious for selling high and fleecing the other team,  I can't see us being a match...
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Catcher rankings for 2011 - incumbents and FA...

Beyond the box score put out an end of the year catcher's defense ranking. Since the Mets maybe in the market for a back-up/platoon catcher I thought it would be appropriate to take a look at where those ranked who are available.

All three of the Mets catchers appeared on the list, here is their ranking;

#75- Mike Nickeas (-0.6)
#93- Josh Thole  (-2.3) 
#96- Ronny Paulino  (-3.6)

Here are the available free agent rankings;

#4- Kelly Shoppach (6.8)
#7- Ramon Hernandez (5.1)
#17- Ivan Rodriguez (2.2)
#19- Josh Bard (2.0)
#46- Chris Snyder (0.2)
#79- Ramon Castro (-0.8)
#92- Rob Johnson (-2.3)
#94- J.R. Towles (-2.3)
#107- Dioner Navarro (-4.3)
#109- Jason Varitek (-5.3)

Jason Kendall did not play in 2011 but isn't retired not sure if he'll return but is listed as a free agent and wasn't ranked on the list.

Check out the above link for explanations and rankings within each category...

Mets are looking at Rauch and Lidge..

It's funny when I saw how tight the budget was, the name that struck me as our potential next closer was Jon Rauch.  According to Mike Puma of the NY Post Jon Rauch and Brad Lidge remain strong candidates for the closers role.  For me Rauch reminds me of an older version of Bobby Parnell, not because of their make-up or pitching styles but both looked destine to be closers, after dominance as relievers they flopped at saving games.

Rauch would be cheap since he's coming off the worse year of his career in which he saw his ERA rise to 4.85 ( holds a career 3.82 ERA and prior high was 4.14 ERA) and he has not been successful at making the transition to closer.  In 2008 he started the season in Washington as the closer making 17 saves with a 2.89 ERA, then was traded mid-season to the D-Backs where he only recorded one save and his ERA ballooned to 6.56.  In 2010 the Twins kept him to close in which he earned 21 saves with a 3.12 but the Twins still traded for Matt Capps and down the stretch he earned 11 saves with a 2.00 ERA.  Last year the ugly ERA only earned him 11 saves while Frank Francisco recorded an additional 17 saves both for the Jays. 

Lidge is another reclamation project but at least he has a history of successful closing and rebounding from adversity.  Rem. in 2005 when closing for the Astros, Pujols hit a monster shot off him to win the playoff series.  Many wondered if Lidge would ever rebound as many pitchers wouldn't, but it was Lidge with the Phillies who pitched a perfect season in 2008 and after struggling in 2009 with a 7.21 ERA, it was Lidge who put together ( despite losing his closers role in 2011) two consecutive dominant season where his ERA was below three.  Lidge is an injury risk and many say his dominant slider has flattened out making him very hittable, but I'd still take a chance on him...


DeJesus signs with Cubs...

Only reason I'm posting about this guy coming off the board is because there were many Mets fans who wanted him signed.  David DeJesus has signed a two year 10M contract with the Cubs.  The problem with DeJesus is that he doesn't have the typical power for the NL corners and no longer has the range to be a starting center fielder.  I think DeJesus is better suited for the AL where his lack of power in RF is made up for by the DH, but for the Mets he's more then a 4th OF and not a center fielder making him an expensive bad fit.  It would have been nice for the Manalapan native to return home but that would have only worked if Bay were gone...

The mets willing to spend on a closer...

The Mets spent 12M on their closer last year, in which he pitched in 42 games (34 GF), compiling 23 saves and an ERA of 3.16 before being traded.  Despite all the moneyball references Alderson has placed a premium on the closers role and after watching the pen blow numerous games last year he has made the back-end of the bullpen a priority.

While I thought Broxton was too risky, when reports surfaced that the Mets were aggressive pursuers and came up short on the reliever I grew a bit concerned.  In 2010 Broxton had similar numbers to K-Rod's 2011 with us; 22 saves, 42 game finishes and ERA 4.04.  Now, the ERA is almost a point higher but some of that can be contributed to being injured and returning from those injuries. So basically your paying a 1/4 the money for the same amount of saves but will give up more runs per outing, your getting a younger pitcher but a much higher injury risk.

This isn't a post about the one who got away, as I've said before I thought Broxton was too risky to be your closer and in KC, unless they trade or move Soria to the rotation he'll be a set-up man.  This is more about what exactly do the Mets have to spend, if they were pursuing Broxton and lost out over a 4M contract that truly is a troubling revelation.  However; if their interest simple had limits and KC exceeded those limits then it was a smart move.  Andy Martino both last night and in today's Daily News reports that Broxton, in the Mets opinion was too high a risk at 4M and that for the right closer they could go even higher then that amount...

The Mets are willing to spend more than $4 million on a reliever, but not one carrying Broxton’s injury baggage, according to team insiders. source Daily News

Mets Will Struggle To Attract Free Agents

While I fully grasp the fact that the Mets didn't sign a free agent until the Winter Meetings last year, I find it just a hair troubling that there has been little if any buzz when it comes to the hot stove.  I also understand that the team can't commit what little funds might be available elsewhere until the future of Jose Reyes is decided.  Still...this offseason just seems different.

I've accepted the fact that the Mets and their fans likely face a two to four year rebuild, but as I review what has happened over the last 18 months, I'm not so sure that the organization has a choice in the matter.  There is no minor league talent to bring up to fill the voids in the current roster.  As a result, there are no trades to be made for major league ready talent.  So that only leaves free agency...  Unfortunately, the idea of joining the Mets isn't as appetizing as it once was.

The fact of the matter is that the almighty dollar rules free agency.  More often than not, free agents find their way to the franchise offering the most lucrative contract.  Those days are over, at least for the time being, in Queens.  With declining attendance numbers and the potential for an exorbitant amount of money lost in the Madoff lawsuit, the Wilpons simply don't have the money to spend.  As a result, the front office is resigned to sniffing out bargains..and by bargains I mean players with high potential, a cheap price tag and few suitors.

The second biggest issue facing the Mets when it comes to the free agent market is the direction of the team.  It has been widely reported that Jose Reyes is concerned with where the team is headed.  And why shouldn't he be.  If the Mets won't be in a position to contend for a World Series for at least four years, why would he or any free agent make signing with the Mets a priority.

If it won't be the money or the potential for success, whats left?  Fortunately for the Mets, they still playing in the largest baseball market in the world.  Any player looking to cut their teeth in a high pressure, highly rewarding market may find the Mets an attractive fit, but finding players who fit that mold, who aren't seeking top dollar are few and far between.

As I've said before, the Mets' front office has its work cut out for it.  With the exception of Jose Reyes, the market for what ails the Mets is extremely weak.  Over committing to sub-par talent is something Sandy Alderson is adamant against doing.  So if its not going to be the money..if its not going to be the franchise itself..whats it going to be?  How is Sandy Alderson going to get it done this winter?

Follow me on Twitter @RobPatterson83

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Starting pitcher's names that have come up...


We've heard the list of closers and late inning relievers discussed to death,also names like Rick Ankiel, Endy Chavez and Jack Wilson have come up but we've heard very little about the rotation. 

Johan Santana, R.A. Dickey Jon Niese, Mike Pelfrey and Dillon Gee appear to be next year's rotation.  Of course, they will need a few guys as insurance policies and I'm sure Buffalo would appreciate some AAAA pitching.  Dillon Gee or a signed pitcher could be a longman spot starter as well. 

Not only is it good to have depth but even with young pitcher's I believe in spring training competition is important.  Basically the Mets will be looking to replace Chris Capuano's spot, a low cost/risk veteran on a one year deal. 

In two recent articles at Mets.com they speculate on four pitchers who would be the type of pitchers the Mets will go after.  Here is a look at what they did last year and what they cost...

Jeff Francis (30) LHP- 31 starts- 183 innings- 4.82 ERA- 1.43 WHIP- 2M/ KC
Paul Maholm (30) LHP- 26 starts- 162 innings- 3.66 ERA- 1.29 WHIP- 6.2M /Pitt.
Joel Pineiro (33) RHP- 24 starts-  145 innings- 5.13 ERA- 1.51 WHIP- 8M/LAA
Jason Marquis (33) RHP- 23 starts-132 innings- 4.43 ERA- 1.49 WHIP-7.5M/WA

If not, a host of other low-cost, low-ceiling options exist: Jeff Francis, Paul Maholm and Joel Pineiro, to name a few. source MLB.com

The Mets are also unhappy with their rotation depth, once again putting them in the market for a mid-level starting pitcher. Given the unlikelihood that they will pursue incumbent lefty Chris Capuano, who is seeking a multiyear deal, the Mets may chase after Joel Pineiro, Jeff Francis, Jason Marquis or some other similar starter at the Meetings.source MLB.com

Evans signs with Pirates

Photo by Michael Baron
The Nick Evans torture treatment has finally come to an end, Evans probably should have been a regular on the bench for the last three seasons.  Instead Evans was the first option to be sent down or placed on options.  For whatever reason Nick was under appreciated in the Mets organization and was never given a fair chance.

 Pittsburgh is the perfect landing place for Evans and I'm sure he will thrive in that organization.

Nick Evans, who had been with the Mets since the team made him him a fifth-round draft selection in 2004, has signed with the Pittsburgh Pirates, his agent Marc Agar told the Daily News. Evans agreed to a minor league deal, with an invite to spring training. source Daily News

More on Broxton

Despite reports over the weekend that the Mets weren't going to be the team Jonathan Broxton selected, Jerry Crasnick stated the Mets were "ardent pursuers".  Andy McCullough heard the Mets felt the price tag for Broxton was too high..


Mets strong players on Dotel...

In 2009 Octavio Dotel wanted to return to his roots with the Mets and I noted in this post.  It's funny that post is title the kiss of death because at the time anyone who expressed interest in playing for the Mets seemed to sign elsewhere.  Dotel didn't return and since then has been an effective late inning reliever for the White Sox, Pirates, Dodgers, Blue Jays and Cards, also played for the Rookies but didn't do so well ( 2010 - 8 appearances, 5.05 ERA). 

In 2011 Dotel signed a one year deal with the Jays for 3.5M then went on to appear in 65 games posting a 3.50 ERA, 0.98 Whip, 2.8 BB per nine, 10.3 SO per nine and a 3.65 BB/SO ratio.  His biggest deterrent is his age. 

The Mets are strong players for right-handed reliever Octavio Dotel, according to a person with knowledge of the discussions. Dotel, who celebrated his 38th birthday last week, posted a 2.61 ERA for the Cardinals in October after compiling a 3.28 ERA, 32 strikeouts and five walks for St. Louis in 24 2/3 innings this season. source MLBlogs Network

Toby Hyde Of Mets Minor League Blog Talks Pitching Prospects With Mets Fever

It is my belief that if the Mets are going to remake the franchise into one that puts a perennial contender on the field, an emphasis must be placed on pitching. Luckily, at least from that standpoint, it appears that the Mets have a series of young arms who appear poised to contribute in the coming years. Toby Hyde, of Mets Minor League Blog, was nice enough to entertain a few of my questions with regards to this issue. Below was the result:

Rob Patterson: Over the years, the Mets have had a series of 'premiere' pitching prospects who were either over-hyped or under-performed. Is there a true, legitimate "ace" buried somewhere in the Mets farm system right now?

Toby Hyde: The odds of any single pitcher becoming a true ace are actually pretty small. That said, I think any one of the three of Jeurys Familia, Zack Wheeler or Matt Harvey, if everything develops right, could front a playoff rotation.


RP: The Mets front office seems to be putting a lot of stock in the potential presented by Zack Wheeler, Matt Harvey, Jeurys Familia and Jenrry Mejia. We've all see the prospect lists, but who do you think arrives first and why?

TH: Familia's the obvious answer. He made 17 starts at double-A to Harvey's 12 and threw nearly 30 more innings 87.2 to 59.2 at AA and performed better. His ERA was 3.49 while Harvey's was 4.53. Familia punched out 9.9 batters per nine IP, and has more professional experience. The Mets have hesitated to put a timetable on Mejia's recovery from Tommy John surgery, and Wheeler ended the year in the Florida State League.


RP: For the Mets to contend on an annual basis, they will need significant improvements to both the starting rotation and the bullpen. With at least four options to choose from, does Jenrry Mejia's surgically repaired right elbow make him the likely choice to be transitioned into the closer's role?

TH: No. Mejia might move to the bullpen because he might never have the fastball command or breaking ball control to work his way through a lineup multiple times. His eventual role won't be dictated by his Tommy John surgery, but rather by his development when he returns.


RP: Of the top four pitching prospects in the Mets' farm system, is there one who you feel is more likely to be used as a trade chip in the coming years? What makes him more expendable than the others?

TH: This is a silly question. The most "expendable" - your word not mine - would have the lowest value both to the Mets and on the trade market. Right now, there's really no sense in the Mets trading any of them. The team is a longshot to contend in 2012, so it makes sense to use the time to figure out which of the quartet is part of the team's future.

I realize that Jenrry Mejia has sort of fallen off the radar because of his injury, but was surprised to learn that Familia has a real shot to beat both Harvey and Wheeler to the Major League level despite the hype surrounding the latter two.  Nonetheless, due to the state of the franchise,the Mets really need these guys to work out in order to provide effective and inexpensive pitching options for the foreseeable future.

Thanks again to Toby Hyde for taking the time to talk with us. You can check out Mets Minor League Blog to learn much much more about the team's farm system.

You can follow me on Twitter by clicking HERE

You can follow Toby on Twitter by clicking HERE

Mets not happy with Paulino..

Photo by Michael Baron
There has been this quiet grumbling since the off-season started about the Mets not being particularly happy with Ronny Paulino, specifically his handling of the pitching staff ( game calling). Now it seems like that grumbling has turned into an all out roar and it doesn't appear that the arbitration eligible catcher will return. 

It was a small moment, but it illustrated why some Mets officials are pushing for a new catching combination next season. In Paulino’s first season in New York, the team did not view him as a diligent worker, adequate defensive catcher, or offensive force off the bench, and some are pushing to replace the arbitration-eligible backstop. source Daily News

The proof is in the results, here are the catcher ERA's from last season: Mike Nickeas 2.94, Thole 4.23, and Paulino 4.47.  For one year, on just over a one million dollar contract Paulino was worth the risk but this isn't the first time Paulino's work ethic has been brought into question.

  Paulino, formerly the Pirates starter, fell out of favor with the team thanks to a perceived poor work ethic as well as the emergence of Ryan Doumit. After two seasons of league average production or better, Paulino’s abysmal .260 wOBA in 40 games and questionable defense made him very expendable. Amaro wanted to create some competition for Chris Costein camp and felt that Paulino would be more major-league ready than youngster Lou Marson. source Fan graph

It's funny in the above linked Daily News article one "unnamed" source complains about Paulino's offense and it's true that he had .351 Slg. pct., .663 OPS and only hit .204 BA in the second half. But if the Mets were really disappointed with his offense, there not going to find a back-up catcher who will hit .268. 

Courtesy MLBTR here is a list of the free agent catchers...

Josh Bard
Ramon Castro
Ramon Hernandez
Rob Johnson
Jason Kendall
Dioner Navarro
Ivon Rodriguez
Kelly Shoppach
Chris Snyder
J.R. Towles
Jason Varitek

When you look at the group it would be easy to say, lets stick with a Thole/Nickeas team.  But Thole regressed last year and this pitching staff isn't a confident veteran group, I think the smart move would be to bring in a veteran catcher. 

Of the group Kelly Shoppach is the most appealing, the 32 y/o former top Boston catching prospect is known for his game calling, arm and defense but will only hit around .225.  Ramon Hernandez, Chris Snyder, Josh Bard and Rob Johnson would probably be the only others I would look into on that list.  The others are either minor league invite caliber players or over the hill. 

Back to Shoppach who earned 3.2 M last year not sure he'll get that after hitting just .176 in 87 games for the Rays.  That Met official complaining about Paulino's four homeruns, Shoppach had 11 last year.  St. Petersburg Times did an entire article on his game calling and the impact it was having on the staff, the same staff that came out of nowhere to catch Boston...

"He made me do some things I might not normally do (in terms of pitch selection and usage)," veteran reliever Dan Wheeler said. "He challenges you as a pitcher, and he gives you the confidence to go out there and make those pitches." source Tampabay.com

Monday, November 28, 2011

Mets have not had contact with Capps

I wasn't concerned or annoyed with reports that Jonathan Broxton was close to signing elsewhere nor was I that concerned with Joe Nathan signing with the Rangers after hearing what he received.  But for a team that will only sign relievers, I'm growing concerned as the numbers begin to dwindle with what appears to be their lack of urgency. 

Once Broxton is off the board there will be six closers with 6-7 teams looking, the Mets talked to Matt Capps agent at the GM meetings and have said they will begin to make moves this week.  But according to the agent for Capps the Mets have not contacted him since those meetings.  I can't lie, seeing the tweet about the Mets lack of contact, my initial thought was "what the F*ck are they doing/waiting for"...

Mets not in on Broxton

Reports indicate that Jonathan Broxton will select his next team within the week, but despite needing a closer the Mets aren't believed to be involved.  The Mets never appeared interested in Broxton and probably his injury history is why. I'm glad the Mets are passing on him, Broxton seems to be an injury waiting to happen...

Mets cont. showing interest in Jack Wilson...

Last week Jon Heyman reported that the Mets were one of several teams interested in Jack Wilson.  Now Wilson's agent is confirming that the Mets have expressed interest in the veteran middle infielder.  Any decisions on the middle infield are dependent upon Jose Reyes; if Reyes returns then Wilson would be an unneeded commodity but with Reyes gone Wilson could become an intricate part in the development of both Tejada and Murphy or a replacement if one were to struggle. 

The 33 y/o right handed batter has a life BA of .266 with an OBP of .307 but over the last few years hasn't hit better then .249 with an OBP around .270.  2004 was his best season, which included an All-Star appearance and silver slugger award at SS ( .308/ .335/ .459 / .794).  Wilson still holds a .970 Fld Pct. at SS, last season he played 45 games at 2B and 4 games at 3B, where he posted fld. pct. of .984/.954 respectively. 

If the Mets lose Jose Reyes to free agency, they’ll have an eye on adding veteran shortstop/middle infield experience. The team has expressed interest in 33-year-old free agent Jack Wilson, agent Page Odle said yesterday. source NY Post

Sunday, November 27, 2011

Who is Robert Carson...

About two weeks ago Sand Alderson was discussing his options for the bullpen and one of the names that came up was Robert Carson.  I was curious to find out more about a 22 y/o lefty, drafted in the 14th round of the 2007 draft, who hasn't been above AA and is now in the major league bullpen discussion. 

But the rest of the Opening Day bullpen remains unclear. Herrera is a candidate to crack the roster, as are Pedro Beato, Josh Stinson and hard-throwing prospect Robert Carson. source MLB.com 

Last year Carson was a starter for Binghamton AA, in 24 starts he produced a 5.05 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP, while SO 6.4 per 9 / BB 3.6 per 9 and a 1.65 SO/BB ratio. 


It appears that Carson is a fastball/slider (occasionally uses a change-up) power pitching lefty who projects to be a reliever.  Here are a few reviews from over the years...

While Robert Carson has been helped by a little luck (FIP is a run higher than his ERA), his one home run allowed in 92 1/3 inning of work, and 63% GB% are dominating statistics. In July, he has also shown the rates one would expect to see out of a top pitching prospect with a K% near 20% and a BB% just over 3%. While not a true top prospect yet, he’s well on his way to becoming a top 10 player in the Mets organization and may already be there. As for most young pitchers, Carson needs to become more consistent to harness his potential and a strong third offering will determine whether Carson can become a 200+ inning, back of the rotation bulldog, or two pitch stalwart out of the pen. With a 0.40 ERA versus lefties, he could probably have some success now as a LOOGY. source Scouting the Sally

Carson’s struggles are not related to arm strength, size, and physical ability, but are related to inconsistencies in his release point, secondary offerings, and command. The fact that Carson shows above average arm strength gives him a chance to be an effective big league pitcher. At times he showed some solid secondary offerings, but needs to get more consistent as he moves up the ladder. It is a rare thing to see such a big, physical, hard throwing left-hander not make it to the major leagues. source Mets Minor league blog

For even more See Mack's Mets Keepers on Robert Carson...

Havens could have been the starting 2B...

MiLB has an article running that reviews the Mets top prospects per position, including comments from Paul Depodesta and Wally Backman.  Despite his injuries Reese Havens is still considered the best second baseman in the system and here is what they had to say about him...

"Whenever Reese has been healthy, he has always been able to perform," DePodesta said. "He's a natural hitter."

Havens, selected 22nd overall in the 2008 Draft, is New York's No. 9 prospect.

"Big-league hitter," echoed new Buffalo skipper Wally Backman, who managed Binghamton last season. "The issue with him has always been health. If he had stayed healthy [in 2010], I believe he would have been the second baseman for the Mets [in 2011]." source MiLB


Havens was selected with the next pick behind Ike Davis; just to compare how much time the 2B has lost, Davis missed over half the 2011 season and still has appeared in 365 (combined Major/minors) while Havens has 213 minor league games.

In a post for Toby Hyde's Mets Minor League Blog, Michael Diaz provides some insight on what he saw of Havens when he visited Binghamton in August 2011.

◦He is not a fist pumper when something good happens, not a guy to scream and yell and get emotional on a K, but even keel attitude, but extremely intense and focused.
◦Solid defender. Not flashy but solid. Will make the routine plays. ◦Strong throwing arm; good footwork around the bag on the pivot. Mobility was hampered by his health.
◦Very quiet at the plate; works the count to his favor; will expand the zone.
◦Strong hitter; ball jumps off of his bat; creates backspin and carry.
◦Above average power for his position; strikeouts can become an issue.
source Mets Minor League Blog


Saturday, November 26, 2011

Ruben Tejada Can't Succeed In Reyes' Shadow

Imagine this...Your a 22 year old kid from Panama and your impending task is to fill the shoes of one of the most exciting players to ever play baseball in the biggest sports market in the country. What’s the last thing anyone will remember about your predecessor? Only his career year that delivered the first batting title in franchise history. Poor Ruben Tejada doesn't stand a chance...

If the Mets cannot retain Jose Reyes this offseason, Tejada will almost without question be the opening day shortstop. He will assume these full-time duties younger (four months) than Reyes did in 2005, despite not being half the prospect. Furthermore, Jose Reyes took over the position from severely disliked Kaz Matsui, who fans were already trying to and eventually did drive out of town. Tejada won't have that luxury as he will inherit the job with a disgruntled fan base sure to point out his obvious deficiencies.

To be fair, Ruben Tejada is not a bad ballplayer. In 376 plate appearances last season, he hit .284 and actually has an identical career fielding percentage (.973) to Jose Reyes. However, the truth is that Tejada struggled mightily at shortstop and doesn't possess the cannon arm Mets fans are used to from that part of the diamond. Furthermore and probably most importantly, he does not possess the flash and excitement that Reyes provides having mounted exactly one triple and only seven stolen bases in 174 games at the major league level.

This drop off in production will only exacerbate the fan base’s dissatisfaction with the fact that he’s standing at shortstop next season, which won’t be his fault one bit. These are not ideal circumstances for the youngster to assume the role and it will likely test his maturity early on if things don’t get off to a solid start. He may learn quickly, whether its fair or not, that this franchise is not in a good place right now as fans may target him as the poster boy for that downturn.

Ultimately, team success may be the only thing that saves Ruben Tejada in Queens. Fans shouldn't expect him to match the offensive numbers of his predecessor, but they will. He has huge shoes to fill, and he by himself probably isn't up to the task.

Follow me on Twitter @RobPatterson83

Friday, November 25, 2011

Rustich on comeback trail...

Brant Rustich is a 27 y/o right handed reliever, who has the potential to be a closer.  The former UCLA closer, second round pick and top prospect has had his career derailed by a nerve condition.  Just last off season, I completed this post on Rustich and his chances of contributing to the big league club, only to see him not throw a single pitch all year.  Mack is reporting that Rustich's nerve condition has been addressed and the reliever is looking forward to spring training...

It looks like pitcher Brant Rustich will be coming out of the chair swinging this spring. I talked with him earlier this week and he says he’s 100% and can’t wait to get to camp. Remember, this guy was never injured. It turned out to be a condition he was born with that went undiagnosed for his entire life. That’s over now and Rustich begins tossing next week. We know the worse case here, but if the velo remains with a new found feel for the ball, he could open for St. Lucie, quickly move to Binghamton when it warms up and there actually is an outside chance he could make Queens after the all-star break. This isn’t some kid trying to make the team. Think along the lines of Chris Young. f This is a 27-year old that has averaged a strikeout per inning without having any feeling in his pitching hand. The upside here is incredible. source Mack's Mets

Here is a video of Rustich throwing a rehab session in 2010, for those saying to themselves he looks awfully big he's listed at 6-6, 230 lbs.

Thursday, November 24, 2011

Flores benched...

Nineteen year old, right handed short stop Wilmer Flores is the Mets #4 prospect, ranked #39th in top 50 prospects and #4 amongst short stops.  This year in FSL Flores hit .269 with 26 doubles, 9 home runs and 81 RBIs.  But the youngster isn't doing so well in winter ball...


Five Things Mets Fans Should Be Thankful For!!

As we all sit down today to fill our guts to excess and watch the NFL's tripleheader, I think its important as Mets fans to remember that we still have things we should be thankful for.  Despite all the uncertainty, anxiety and embarrassment, we should really take the time to be thankful for the positives we do have.


1)  The Past - 2012 brings with it the 50th anniversary of the New York Mets.  With 1969 and 1986 being the obvious highlights, the Mets have brought two championships to Flushing.  Yes, its been twenty-five years and counting, but things could be a lot worse.  The Houston Astros, who entered the ranks of Major League Baseball in 1962 with the Mets, have managed only one World Series appearance and are yet to win a championship of their own.  Also...we could always be Cubs fans.

2) The Future - I know it looks bleek...but the night is always darkest before the dawn.  I don't expect the team to contend until at least the 2014 time frame, however I believe that the organization has the front office in place to turn this around.  Ten years of (mostly) bad decisions cannot be rectified in a single season (or even two), but changes are coming.  When the Zack Wheelers and Matt Harveys of the world finally make their debut, Mets fans will be excited.  The future isn't here yet, but its coming.

3) Jose Reyes - This is another area that I approach with hesitation.  While we don't know what the future has in store for our favorite speedster, Mets fans should be thankful that they've had the opportunity to watch Jose mature into one of the most exciting players in baseball.  I suppose its better to have loved and lost than to have never loved at all, right?

4) RA Dickey - Has there been a better surprise in the past few years?  In reality, RA Dickey is probably overrated by most Mets fans.  He was unlucky throughout the majority of 2011, but is a solid 12-14 game winner for this team moving forward and provides so much comedy in the process.  Whether its his performances, the faces, the twitter account or the Star Wars commercials at Citi Field, RA Dickey has been an asset to this franchise in recent years.  No two ways about it.

5) Our Fanbase - Passionate. Engaging. Loyal. Schizophrenic.  I don't envision too many groups who would not only stay behind an organization that has had this many ups and downs, but here we are.  Five years since the team's most recent playoff appearance, with more embarassing moments than I care to count, we gear up for another season of probable mediocrity in the hopes that magic happens.  We may not be the most logical group, but I'm proud to be a Mets fan and I'm thankful your all still here with me.

You can follow me on Twitter @RobPatterson83

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Video- Loewen playing center

Adam Loewen is described mostly as a corner outfielder who can fill-in as a center fielder. Here's a video of Loewen making a nice catch in Boston which has some unique configurations of it's own, while playing center.

Mets offer Reyes Arby...

Photo by Michael Baron
Mets offered arbitration to Jose Reyes, ensuring themselves two draft picks if he walks.  This is nothing more then a formality, for Reyes to accept arbitration he could only receive a one year deal.  This is more about the Mets receiving compensation picks in the event that they can't re-sign him to a multi-year deal. 

In a formality that allows them to recoup draft picks if he signs elsewhere, the Mets offered arbitration to Jose Reyes on Wednesday, the deadline to extend such offers. source ESPN NY

Could and Should the Mets end up out of the closer's market

It doesn't seem to make much sense spending a ton of money on the bullpen, now that's not to say that the team has anyone at the back-end of games who I'm confident in, it's more of an indictment on where the team is at, then anything else. Once they started talking about returning the entire positional team minus Jose Reyes, I started feeling like what's the point, your losing the best player on a 77 win team. I know all the "If's" about healthy returning players but we've been living with those "If's" for four years.

Let me make this clear, in no way am I blaming Alderson for this mess and if there's anyone who I believe could put a competitive team together under these circumstances it would be  him and his staff. As I chronicled in an earlier post this situation is clearly due to the financial restraints of ownership.

If I could trust ownership to reinvest directly into the organization then I would say, why bother spending money this year. March the cheapest team you can field out there, call it a rebuilding year and save the money for 2013-2014.  See what Parnell and Acosta can do over a full year, after all; say you spend 10M for Frank Francisco and Matt Capps what will they net you five wins and your 75 win team instead of 70 (big deal).

But I don't believe in the Wilpon's; if the fans accepted that type of team, where they obviously made no effort this off-season, I don't believe they would reward the fans in years to come.  I can't see the Wilpon's saying in 2013 if their finances straighten out, well we were going to spend 130M but since we saved 10M in 2011 we'll spend 140M this year.  I don't even see them using the money to straighten things out, I've lost so much faith in them I could see them blowing saved monies on something stupid ( Kinda like laying off employees while spending on new uniforms and stadium dimensions).

So I say to Alderson, spend every last cent they allow you to as long as it doesn't effect future plans.  Just maybe that 10M they spend is the straw that breaks the camel's back and they're finally forced to sell.

If your going to spend anything I agree that the bullpen is where you spend it, the problem maybe that the market for closer's has gone through the roof.  The best closer on the market Jonathan Papelbon got four years at 50M at the age of 31, in a year where he blew the save that eliminated his team from the playoffs. Madson had a similar offer on the table with just 52 saves under his belt at the age of 31.  Even more alarming was Joe Nathan at 37 y/o, coming off a season where he struggled to comeback from TJ surgery getting 14M for two years with an option.

 I agree with Adam Rubin's calculations, to stay at 95M the Mets have about 13M to spend this offseason. And Jon Heyman believes there are seven to eight teams looking for closers.




Even with money to spend that will cut it very close, according to MLBTR there are eight closer available.  Looking at the reliever list I would include a few more, granted most of the others would be more fitted as set-up men (listed below the asterisks).  There are 19 relievers below the asterisk line, every single one of them has at least one save and even guys like Brad Lidge and Jason Isringhausen were elite closers.  The Mets will be able to import someone but it's cutting close as to whether they will be able to grab an elite closer, especially since they want to sign more then one reliever.  There are eight top closer and eight teams with a vacancy, however; that doesn't include teams and closer's looking at set-up roles.

 Instead of a Matt Capps/Frank Francisco tandem, we may end up with a Dotel/Rauch situation.

Heath Bell
Jonathan Broxton
Matt Capps
Francisco Cordero
Frank Francisco
 Ryan Madson
Jon Rauch
Francisco Rodriguez

**************************************

 David Aardsma
Luis Ayala
Danys Baez
Todd Coffey
Juan Cruz
Octavio Dotel
Mike Gonzalez
John Grabow
Jason Isringhausen
Brad Lidge
 Scott Linebrink
Mike MacDougal
Damaso Marte
Chad Qualls
Fernando Rodney
Takashi Saito
George Sherril
Dan Wheeler
Kerry Wood

Positives & Negatives Of The New CBA Agreement

Tuesday's announcement that Major League Baseball and the MLB Players Association have agreed to a new, five-year, collective bargaining agreement assures that baseball fans won't have to endure the stress of a potential lost season.  MLB executives and players successfully came to the table and came to terms on a deal that seemingly works for everyone..but is this new deal good for baseball?

Positives:

-Instant replay expanded to include fair/foul/trapped balls - Incorporating instant replay into any sport will always be a slippery slope.  First home run calls..and now this.  I think everyone involved got this right.  These are not everyday instances and in most cases can be decided via replay very quickly.  It shouldn't notably slow the game down, providing fans with a more accurate outcome without negatively affecting the experience.

-All-Star Game participation will be required - Amen.  The all-star game in every league is designed to showcase the game.  If premier players do not attend it becomes pointless.  What happened last season, when more than a dozen players opted out of the game, was ridiculous to the point where the players should be ashamed.  Well done by everyone involved to eliminate the opportunities for self-centered players to excuse themselves from this honor.

-HGH testing to begin Spring 2012 - For MLB to continue to rehabilitate its image this is 100% necessary.  I don't intend to initiate or further rumors, but when Albert Pujols returned mere days after severely injuring his wrist last season..it has to make you think.  I look forward to the days when such ideas can be put to rest before they even come up.  HGH testing won't accomplish that alone, but its a solid start.

Negatives:

-The amateur draft is dead (at least for the time being) - Any team that spends more than 5% over slot is subject to a 75% draft tax.  Spending 10%-15% over slot earns the offending team a 100% draft tax and the loss of their 1st or 2nd round draft pick in each of the next TWO season depending on the circumstances.  With the draft being such a crap shoot, who would take such a risk?  Therefore, an inability to spend over slot will prohibit teams from offering top prospects the financial incentive to forgo their college years.  As a result, many expect the talent pool to dip considerably over the next several years as a result.

-Additional Wild Card Teams - Although I know there are others who will disagree, this decision is mind numbingly stupid to me.  The idea that, theoretically, a 93-69 team may have their playoff future decided by a one-game playoff against an 85-77 team is foolish.  MLB is trying to recapture the success (and insanity) that was the final day of the 2011 regular season, but they're sacrificing of the entire regular season in the process.  Yes, this approach puts an emphasis on winning the division, but it also makes the Wild Card seem incredibly cheap.

The agreement that was struck this week is extremely interesting and I'm excited to here the background and backlash surrounding it.  MLB owners, executives and players should be proud that they were able to avoid a work stoppage, such as the one that threatened the NFL season and has all but eliminated the NBA season.  Any agreement, in that sense, is good for baseball.  However, I will say that I am glad that this is only a five year deal because there are some glaring problems with this agreement that will need rectified sooner than later for the good of the league

You can follow me on Twitter: HERE

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Mets remain interested in Street

Jon Heyman is reporting that the Mets are one of six teams interested in trading for Huston Street.  I just don't know how such a trade would work out, considering Street's public feud with Bench coach Bob Geren.  Sure he doesn't have a say in a trade but how effective would he be in such a situation.  Besides it didn't sound like the Mets were very keen on what the Rockies wanted ( Mike Pelfrey).  For more on Street see this post .

Mets sign Loewen MiLB..

Matt Eddy of Baseball America is reporting that the Mets have signed Adam Loewen to a minor league deal.

Loewen was the #4 pick of the 2002 draft for the Baltimore Orioles and became their top pitching prospect.  He would come up as a pitcher over three season ( 2006-2008) with the Orioles in which he appeared in 35 games, 29 starts with an ERA of 5.38 and a WHIP of 1.64.  In 2008 he announced he would no longer pitch due to chronic arm injuries but was going to attempt to transition to a corner outfielder/ 1B.

He signed a minor league deal with the Jays as a positional player in 2009 and returned to the majors as  Sept. call-up in 2011.  After the seasons he was out-righted and became a free agent.




Here's a few articles from Toronto on how his transition was going...

“No doubt in my mind Adam’s a major-league talent,” general manager Alex Anthopoulos told reporters in a conference call Thursday. “He can play all three positions. We saw him in centre.” source Toronto Sun

Loewen didn’t show much of a bat during his brief stint in the majors, hitting just .188 with 1 home run, but he did show good athleticism and raw power. Loewen’s was a great story to follow all season, as he wound up tearing it up AAA Las Vegas, putting together a solid .306/.377 season that included 17 homers. Having made his conversion from pitching just 3 years ago, Loewen may still be a little rough at the plate, but he does play multiple positions, and the the raw ability is there for him to perform as a 4th/5th OF on a major league club. Hopefully, he’ll find a chance to do so. If not, I’m sure Jays fans will be happy to have the Canadian back. source Rant Sports MLB Blue Jays

Baltimore Sun found scouts who saw him play as a high school kid in Canada and this is what one of them said.

“He was the best high school player in the world,” said Hamilton. “I truly believe he would have been a first rounder as a hitter and position player if he decided not to pitch in high school.He played the game with an incredible ease.” source Baltimore Sun

Monday, November 21, 2011

Mets show interest in Jack Wilson

The Mets are going to need a back-up middle infielder on the bench, if Ruben Tejada goes down for anymore then a few days Justin Turner can't fill in at shortstop. Not only can't Turner cover the position but there isn't a replacement level player in Buffalo.  Wilson would be a solid pick-up, not only for the bench but as a mentor to an inexperienced Murphy and young Tejada.  Offensively your not going to get much from Wilson.

Why Would The Mets Trade Daniel Murphy Now?

Allow me to preface this post by stating that I am NOT a member of the #ImWith28 fan club you may have stumbled across on Twitter.  I'm a full believer that while Daniel Murphy can be a force at the plate, he is an utter liability in the field and repeatedly makes poor baserunning decisions due to being overly aggressive.  However, even with that said, I just don't understand why the Mets would consider trading Daniel Murphy right now.

Last August, just prior to suffering his second major knee injury in as many years, Murphy was batting .320 and was well within the race for the batting title.  He was locked in, and his value was never higher.  Despite his inefficiency elsewhere on the diamond he would have likely fetched a premium from an AL team in need of a DH.  However, that story has changed now.  Having not appeared in a game since, there is no telling what effects, if any, Murphy's rehabbed knees will have on his game both in the field and at the plate.  Its reasonable to think that his trade value isn't even half of what it was just three months ago.

Furthermore, I would argue that if he can return to form his value to the New York Mets won't allow them to trade him.  If unable to resign Jose Reyes, Daniel Murphy will likely be your opening day second baseman, as his bat will force management to find a spot for him.  Should the Mets flounder, as expected, his value to the organization would increase again if the team chooses to trade embattled captain, David Wright.  Murphy, whose natural position has always been third base, could easily slide over to fill the void.

I'm not advocating that Daniel Murphy stay with the team forever.  I understand that the effort hes shown over the years and willingness to play wherever he is needed has rightfully developed a strong following amongst fans.  Its just that, for the reasons described above, the benefits of keeping Murphy in town through this season seem to far outweigh the risks.  Murphy may never be an all-star, but he is the type of player that can do a lot of good on this team and this team may never need him more than they do now.

You can follow me on Twitter: HERE

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Yoenis Cespedes too big a swing...

Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes has been receiving interest from multiple teams and is believed to be looking for a multi-year, major league deal. Some Mets fans have suggested that the Mets should look at him as their center fielder.  I think because of the interest level he will be too rich for the Mets taste, besides these international, multi-year major league deals are too risky for me, just look at Kaz and Iggy.  Despite the interest not all the scouts are enamoured with Cespedes.

The Cuban slugger was worked out by the Red Sox on Friday. Though he has five-tool ability, it’s not known whether he can be effective vs. major league pitching. Cespedes has faced mostly pitchers who throw in the mid-80s, which is why teams like the Phillies and Red Sox have held private workouts. Said one scout who watched him last week, “He has too long of a swing for me. He could strike out a lot. He reminds me of Wily Mo Pena a little with his power, but whether you can devote those kinds of dollars and project him as a top major league player, that’s quite a leap of faith.’’ source Boston Globe

Friday, November 18, 2011

Kazmir to pitch in DR

Looks like Scott Kazmir is going to the DR to pitch, to show he's healthy and can bounce back from his recent struggles.  Kazmir in recent years has struggled with injuries spending substantial time on the disable list.  After the infamous trade to the Rays in 2004, Kaz made 145 starts with a 3.92 ERA, much like Brett Saberhagen his health in Tampa an every other year thing.  But with the Angels it became a complete struggle; 2010 was his first full season with LAA he only made 26 starts with a 5.94 ERA and then in 2011 he made one start lasting only 1.2 innings while giving up five runs, in AAA he made 5 starts to a 17.02 ERA.  He last pitched for the Angels AAA on June 6th and after being released couldn't catch on with another team...


McHugh talks about not being added

Collin McHugh has a twitter account and made a few comments about not being protected from the rule V draft.  I'm sure he's disappointed but he;s also showing loyalty to the organization which is nice to see.  My understanding is that there is a real chance he could be selected on Dec. 8th.




Mets protect seven

According to multiple reports the Mets have protected seven players by adding them to the 40 man roster prior to the rule five draft...



There has been talk that Carson's could be in the mix for a pen spot, while he's probably a year away Nieuwenhuis could surpass Pagan and the only thing holding Havens back is his inability to remain healthy.

The roster is now at 38 which leaves them enough room to sign someone without placing a player on waivers or making a trade.  As far as whether anyone was overlooked there were three players who could have been protected but it's understandable that they weren't.  Marte is injured, McHugh had a bad year and Holt is wild, however; both pitchers could be selected...


Here is a list of the players ( Tpg Mets) who have not been protected that are eligible for the draft.

Are The Marlins For Real?

The news this week that the Miami Marlins had offered Jose Reyes a six year deal worth roughly $90 million sent many Mets fans, myself included, into a panic. However, having had a few days to digest the news has allowed me to take on a bit of a different perspective. That new perspective was aided by the news that the Marlins have since offered a nine year deal worth $225 million to Albert Pujols.

So, over the past 72 hours the Marlins have committed an estimated $315 million over the next nine years. These mega deals are absolutely new to the Marlins' franchise. In fact... here is a quick break down of the Marlins' payroll expenses in recent years:

US Today
Yes, thats right...The Miami Marlins have offered almost as much money in the past 72 hours as they've paid out in the last EIGHT years!!  While they're at it, they've claimed to be interested in bringing additional starting pitching as well.  We all know that quality starting pitching doesn't come cheap...

So what is the ultimate goal here?  To fill seats...  Since 2004, the year following their last World Series title, the Marlins have been no better than 26th out of 30 teams in annual attendance (source).  When you combining that with the fact that they are on the hook for $155 million of the reported $515 million dollar (source) Miami Ballpark, it makes sense that they would stress filling most of those empty seats.

I'm not saying that the Marlins don't have the cash to bring in top tier talent, because quite frankly I have no idea.  What I am saying is, it is 100% out of character for the Marlins to spend money in this fashion.  I do not believe that they are players for both Reyes and Pujols.  In fact, I think they have no real interest in signing Pulojs or Prince Fielder (who they've also been tied to) to anything resembling a $200 million dollar contract.  Therefore, Jose Reyes appears to be the prime target.  Whether their intentions are genuine remain to be seen, but the Marlins are not adept at this type of negotiation and if nothing else that leaves the Mets with a window of opportunity.

I'm not resigned to Jose Reyes signing elsewhere..at least not yet.  I'm not convinced the Marlins are real players in this market.  They just don't have the history.  That could change, but after some brief panic...I think the Jose Reyes negotiations are far from over.

Follow me on Twitter @RobPatterson83

Thursday, November 17, 2011

1986 Lets Go Mets documentary..

Revel in the music and look of the '80s with this commemorative video. In 1986, The New York Mets were at the top of their game. As world champions, they boasted an all-star lineup and soaring popularity. At the height of Mets frenzy, the ball team came out with a music video celebrating the incredible season. "Let's Go Mets" became the official theme song, resulting in a gold record and triple platinum sales. The video also features interviews with Gary Carter, Keith Hernandez, Dwight Gooden, Kevin Mitchell, Darryl Strawberry, and others. Let's Go Mets offers viewers a slice of history packaged in an unforgettable time capsule.

A closer look at Pelfrey- Street

Photo by Michael Baron
Joel Sherman reported earlier today that the Mets and Rockies discussed a trade that would be built around Huston Street and Mike Pelfrey.  Intially I was all for the trade but that was probably due to my bias against Pelfrey, whether it comes from trade or non-tender I wish Pelfrey wasn't returning next.  All I've heard is that he provides innings but if those innings aren't quality then what's the point.  Here's a closer look at the two players, decide for yourself...

Before I can even look at Huston Street's pitching numbers or his contract, you have to see how Street would do with the Mets.  Street doesn't like our new bench coach Bob Geren very much, as evident by these comments:

Bob was never good at communication, and I don't want to speak for anybody else, but it was a sentiment reflected in many conversations during the two years I spent in Oakland, and even recently when talking to guys after I left," Street told the newspaper. "For me personally, he was my least favorite person I have ever encountered in sports from age 6 to 27. I am very thankful to be in a place where I can trust my manager." source Sporting News

Since Street's name surfaced I've heard several describe him as a malcontent but other then the above blasting of Geren I couldn't find an article to collaborate such an accusation.

The past season Street posted a career worst ERA at 3.86, his career ERA is 3.11 but he also had a career high 29 saves.  In seven seasons Street has amassed 178 games in 312 game fininshes between Oakland and Colorado.  His career WHIP is a solid 1.06 and his worst was 1.21 ERA which he produced in two seasons.  According to Cots Contract here's whats left on his contract; 12:$7.5M, 13:$9M player option (club may decline and pay $0.5M buyout).  

Mike Pelfrey has produced four straight 30 or more start seasons in which he's logged 183 innings or more, but that has been to a sub-par ERA ( career 4.40) and WHIP ( career 1.45).  He avoided arbitration this year by signing for 3.95 M which would mean a modest 20% increase brings him close to 5M.

So the questions this trade would bring up are ; Could Street and Geren coexist, Can Street handle a big market to the extent of making an 8M commitment (7.5M + 0.5M), Could the Mets find a cheaper fifth starter who can go 200 innings at a 4.40 ERA....

Listen: Rob on John Pielli's "Past Ball Show"

This evening I've been asked to guest on John Pielli's Past Ball Show featured on Ustream. Topics on tap include the Mets approach to Jose Reyes, whether the Mets should try to contend in 2012 and the direction of the team in general.

The show is slated to start st 5:00 pm. I will join him around 5:20 pm.

You can listen by going HERE.

You can follow John on Twitter @John_Pielli and you can follow me on Twitter @RobPatterson83.

Murphy on block and why he should be

Photo by Michael Baron
It's being reported that Dan Murphy is being made available, aside from Pagan I think Murphy should be the most available of the positional players.

The Mets aren't a team that is built for compromised defense, especially up the middle.  They don't have dominant pitching staff or a powerful offense, every error and misstep that costs them a run could impact the out come of a game.  

I think there are many people who are enamored with Murphy's work ethic, which I agree is admirable but I don't think it's a good recipe to put an inexperienced player and a youngster as your middle infield.  In just 24 major league games and 19 minor league games at second base, Murphy as had both his knees injured due to positioning/footwork.  

Another about Murphy, the year he took over for an injured Delgado and was praised for his defense what many missed was the impact his over aggressiveness had on the players around him.  Castillo became gun shy on who was getting balls between them and there were more then a few times first base wasn't covered because the pitcher didn't even consider a 1B going after a ball that far to his right.  

Now even if Murph can remain healthy by getting out of the way, the impact on the staff of his potential miscues could compound the impact twofold.  Pelfrey on the mound the runners goes for second, thole has him but the ball sails into center field as Tejada and Murphy are looking at each other  wonder who should have covered, after which Pelfrey licks his arm and melts down.  

As many others, I like Murphy's work ethic and believe with experience he could learn the position, but that's something to learn in PSL extended spring training with coaches everywhere not at Citi Field.  Also take into account that Jose Reyes didn't flourish until his second baseman was Jose Valentin.  I know Tejada is more mature then Jose was but still I think if he's a cornerstone of this club moving forward then he would benefit from a salty veteran instead in someone else learning the position, I'd take a Bill Hall or Orlando Cabrera for that purpose alone.  

As far as his value, an MCL injury is something that can be played through especially as a DH.  I would target a small market AL team who can't afford a powerhouse offense and would see value in Murphy's .300 BA as a #3 hitting DH and part time jack-of-all-trades.  For example Miguel Cairo after looking washed up flourished with the Yanks and Mariners. 

  In conversations with other teams at the GM Meetings in Milwaukee this week, a source confirmed the Mets informed other teams that Daniel Murphy is "available." source ESPN NY

   

Pridie & Evans Exit - Mets Bench Looks Bleak

The past 48 hours have seen the Mets lose two players who played a combined 160 games for the big league club over the course of the 2011 season.  News came on Tuesday that backup center-fielder, Jason Pridie, signed a minor league contract with the Oakland A's and on Wednesday, Nick Evans, elected for free agency over accepting his umteenth demotion to AAA Buffalo.

On the surface the loss of each of these players is no big deal.  Neither broke camp with the team, being called up as a result to injuries to other players.  Pridie arrived in late April, remaining with the club for the duration of the season.  Evans on the other hand, was promoted (and demoted) on three separate occasions before coming up for good in early August.  Off the two, Evans posted a better average (.256) and better power numbers (4 HR & 25 RBI) in just over half the at-bats Pridie saw.  Neither was an offensive force...

The issue really lies in the fact that the Mets still face a lack of depth at the AAA level and while the off-season is still very young, the organization just lost two players it relied pretty heavily on over the course of last season.  Neither player is an all-star and it would be surprising to see either set the world on fire elsewhere, but they were the best the Mets had immediate in waiting and for that reason their loss is unfortunate.

Assuming the Mets will feel the wrath of the injury bug that has gripped the roster for several consecutive seasons, the front office will have to take action in order to replace these players who were once considered afterthoughts.  Major losses?  Certainly not, but for a franchise in a rebuilding mode such as ours, any loss of semi "major league ready" talent must be taken seriously.

Follow me on Twitter @RobPatterson83

Sandy Comments On The Reyes Negotiations



Here are the set of comments I take away from this brief interview...

"The greater issue is just what effect it has on the relationship between the fans and the team and uh that's always a consideration. Very handful of players that fans identify and in our case Jose is one of those and we have to take that into account... it doesn't determine what we will or won't do, but we have to take it into account and I think we are taking it into account"

"From my point of view the length of contract is typically more difficult to swallow than the dollars..."

Whether or not you take Sandy's comments at face value is really your decision. Many met fans prefer a pessimistic approach to all things New York Mets. That may lead you to think that Alderson is toeing the company line. Is he? Maybe, but at this point in time he hasn't lied to me yet, so I'm inclined to believe him.

I do appreciate the fact that, after only one year, Alderson acknowledges the fact that Jose Reyes has a special place in the hearts of Mets fans. The support for Jose was clearly apparent throughout the season and I think that continues today. I also think its extremely important that the front office has its hand on the pulse of the fan base.

At the same time, I appreciate the fact that Alderson has an idea of whats best for this team. As I've stated several times, I don't think the Mets should offer any more than 5 years guaranteed for this contract. If they need to include an option for a sixth year, so be it. However, guaranteeing anymore than five years, at least in my opinion, is a recipe for disaster if Reyes doesn't hold up for the length of his next deal.

Follow me on Twitter @RobPatterson83

Endy could return...

Photo by Michael Baron

According to Andy Martino of the Daily News the Mets are considering bringing back Endy Chavez.  Prior to his first stint with the Mets Chavez was a weak hitting, defensive minded, back-up outfielder.  In 2006 he appeared in 133 games and hit .306, since then he has hit .288 with the Mets, Mariners and Rangers.  Last season he played in 83 games hitting .301, 66 of those games were in center field. Endy has always been a fan favorite who might just give the org. a little good will towards the fanbase.



According to one high-ranking team insider, the Mets are open to a second stint in Flushing for the free agent outfielder, and have discussed Chavez — albeit in a very informal and preliminary way — with agent Peter Greenberg. Although there have not yet been any serious talks or negotiations, Mets brass considers Chavez a fit for the 2012 roster. It remains to be seen whether the sides will agree on Chavez’s value. source Daily News

Rottino a nice find ?

The Mets signed Vinny Rottino to a minor league deal.  Rottino is a 31 y/o with just 26 MLB games under his belt but in joining the Mets he may actually have a chance to make the team.  The team hasn't had anyone as versatile as Rottino since Eli Marrero.

In the minors he logged 300 gms at catcher, 223 gms at 3B, 174 gms in LF, 164 gms at 1B, 80 in RF, 5 gms at 2B, 3 gms at SS and even pitched a game.  In six seasons in AAA offensively he's produced the following numbers; .293/ .360 / .433 / .793.

Between 2006-2008 with the Brewers he was called up for 18 games in which he hit .208 ( 24 AB) and played 3B/LF/RF/C.  Last year he was called up by the Marlins and appeared in eight games, hitting .167 while playing LF/RF.



Wednesday, November 16, 2011

Could Frank Francisco be Mets main target

Ken Davidoff of Newsday reports the Mets have met with representatives of Frank Francisco.  The 32 y/o right hander spent his first six seasons with the Texas Rangers, in Texas he was mostly a middle reliever and set-up man but in 2009 he recorded 25 saves in 42 appearances with a 3.83 ERA.  Last year was his first time as a free agent and he signed a one year deal worth 4M with the Blue Jays.  He appeared in 54 games for Toronto where he recorded 17 saves and an a 3.55 ERA.  Furthermore, Joe DeMayo has heard Francisco is one of the Mets primary relieving targets and they're willing to go two years...

Mets Formally Unveil 50th Anniversary Uniforms

Via a press conference at Citi Field this morning, the Mets unveiled their 50th Anniversary uniforms that will be worn for the duration of the 2012 season. David Wright, Lucas Duda and Ike Davis were on hand to model the uniforms for the reports and fellow bloggers who were in attendance.

The major difference, with the exception of the 50th Anniversary patch is the fact that the Mets have chosen to do away with the black drop shadow seen in previous years.  Also it appears the black uniforms that were so popular in the 90s have either been eliminated entirely or while be used minimally.

Here are a trio of photos tweeted by ESPN's Adam Rubin during the press conferences:

Click To Enlarge

Here is a graphic of what the 50th Anniversary patch looks like up close:


All in all, the changes are minimal at most.  I've always been a fan of the grey jersey, so I am glad they've decided to keep it around.  The patch is much better than the Inaugural Season patch from a 2009, but I'd love to know why the organization is smitten with beige (both here and at Citi Field).  What do you think?

Follow me on Twitter @RobPatterson83

Tuesday, November 15, 2011

Alderson's shrinking payroll in quotes...

With reports that the Mets will be tendering Angel Pagan, basically the Mets will be returning the same positional team as last year minus Jose Reyes.  Will a healthy Ike Davis, Dan Murphy, David Wright and a rejuvenated Jason Bay be enough to make the difference to even win 70 something games this year. 

With Reyes gone the Mets should be able to make an up-grade somewhere amongst the positional players and even if they don't feel there's anyone worth spending on, then they should at least make some lateral moves to shake things up a bit. 

But the Mets maybe already maxed out; with contract commitments, arbitration and min. salary players to fill out the roster the Mets are basically at 80M, which leaves them enough for a few pitchers on reasonable contracts. 

Whats the most alarming about this situation is that the Mets have quietly lowered their payroll expectation until we ended up in this situation.  Basically despite 40 M coming off the books this season Alderson still doesn't have the payroll flexibility he sought when he first took the position. 

Just take a look at these quotes and watch the payroll shrink right before your eyes...

Febuary 2, 2011 Star Ledger

But we’re always going to have a very high payroll, whether it’s $150 next year or $130, that’s a function of a lot of different things.

May 26, 2011 CBS New York

Alderson says he has not spoken with Wilpon since the article came out, but something in the $120 million range for his 2012 budget sounded reasonable.

“There was no quote from Fred about $100 million,” he said. “From my standpoint, that’s not a number we discussed and I would expect our payroll to be somewhere above that number and somewhere below where we are now.”


September 26, 2011 Newsday

I haven't found it to be the obstacle that most believe it to be. It doesn't necessarily limit our ability to spend money. Whether our payroll is at $120 million next year or $110 million, it's not because of anything Madoff-related. It's because we need to get a better balance between the revenues we generate and the expenses we incur.

September 29, 2011 Adam Rubin tweet via Mets Fever

Sandy Alderson confirms he envisions payroll in the $100 million to $110 million range for 2012 season. Cannot envision lower amount.

November 6, 2011 The Record

Reyes’ handlers are disappointed by the lack of initiative on the Mets’ part, but can they really be surprised? With the team’s mounting debt – including the $25 million loan from Major League Baseball that has yet to be repaid — the 2012 payroll will be reduced from $140 million to $110 million. Alderson indicated that figure could actually dip under $100 million before opening day. If so, that would represent the leanest war chest since 2004.

November 10, 2011 Adam Rubin ESPN NY

I don't expect the Mets to be spending a ton on the rotation, and Sandy Alderson has all but said do not expect another big free-agent signing to replace Reyes. Reading between the lines on what I've directly heard Alderson say, I'm speculating the Opening Day payroll will be in the $95 million neighborhood. I base that on Alderson saying that the payroll may start below the $100 million to $110 million figure he has cited on multiple occasions and drift into that range in-season with the inclusion of amateur signing bonuses (which generally you would not lump into the payroll category unless you're trying to inflate that figure and make it appear more palatable to fans.)

Heyman: Mets WILL Tender Contracts To Pagan & Pelfrey



The ever present bearer of bad news, Jon Heyman, tweeted this evening that the Mets plan to tender deals to both Angel Pagan and Mike Pelfrey.

I'm semi-okay with the team bringing Pagan back despite the fact that he was mediocre all around last season. I'm not sure if I can stomach another 200 innings of hand licking from Mike Pelfrey. Ultimately, I think this comes down to the lack of an affordable replacement for each player. The organization appears more and more willing to tread water for the time being while ownership gets all of its finances in order. I'm not sure when this will all work itself out, but I hope its soon...

Murphy or Duda could be on the block ?

Ken Rosenthal speculates that the Mets could look to trade one of Lucas Duda or Dan Murphy because of duplication.  Alderson has suggested several times when speaking to the media that some of the holes could be filled this off-season through trades and if the team is rebuilding then they'd probably be reluctant to deal prospects...



Alderson loves the long ball and with the fences being moved in, I'd be very surprised if Duda is on the block.  Murphy on the other hand while possessing the preferred high OBP, I'm not buying that he's the starting 2B.  This is a guy who in a very short period of time at the position has had both knees blown out due to poor footwork.  Announcing that if Reyes leaves, Murphy will be the starting 2B sounds like a value ploy to me.  Murphy would be a perfect fit in a small market as a #3 hitting DH and utility player, say KC, Oakland or Seattle for example.

Loss Of Reyes Does Not Impact The Mets' Rebuild

If the reports that the Miami Marlins have extended a 6 year, $90 million dollar contract offer to Jose Reyes are true, I think it is time for Mets fans to make their peace with the fact that Reyes will not be returning next season.  While the loss of the organization's most popular player certainly deals a blow to the hopes of any Met fan hoping their team could remain in contention next season, it may have little, if any, impact in the long run.

If there is one thing Sandy Alderson seems dead set on doing, whether it by choice or due to a lack of funds from ownership, it is rebuilding the New York Mets from within.  This trend became apparent when the Mets dealt Carlos Beltran to San Francisco, all but ending any hope of the Wild Card last summer.  That trend intensified when the Mets aggressively targeted and signed players through the amateur draft. Alderson, will find himself with two additional picks next summer from whichever team Reyes eventually lands, thus allowing him to continue replenishing the farm system.

The reason the retention of Reyes doesn't really matter is because it was going to be nothing more than a stopgap over the next few years.  The 2012 and 2013 New York Mets are going to struggle with, or without, Jose Reyes.  The Mets are not one player (or five) away from contending for a World Series and due to their seeming inability to spend like they did in the early 2000s, likely won't reach such heights until their prospects not only arrive, but mature.  It seems that the Mets have plenty of pitching in the pipe, but with even the best of luck those pitching prospects won't have matured before the 2015 or 2016 seasons.  At that point, Reyes will be on the downside of this new contract and will no longer be the impact player you see today.

With all of that said, I would have preferred the Mets resign Jose, but not at the cost of another bloated contract that will have the power to impact their contention when that time finally arrives.  If the Mets match and/or improve upon the offer the Marlins have made, Jose Reyes will be the problem long before he is ever able to become the solution to the Mets woes.

The Mets should be nearing the bottom as Sandy Alderson looks to turn this franchise around.  Unfortunately, due to ownership's current financial circumstances, the front office must shift its focus from contending now, to working towards having the right pieces in place so that this can all come together sooner than later.  In this instance, sooner might be the 2015 season.  It will be for that reason that additional prospects and/or major league ready talent will be sought next season if the team decides to trade David Wright or Johan Santana.  This is a process and not a fun one, but while the loss of Jose Reyes may sting now, if he is not brought back under the right circumstances, it has the power to sting a whole lot more later.

Follow me on Twitter @RobPatterson83

Monday, November 14, 2011

Mets maybe interested in Matt Capps...

The Mets maybe interested in Matt Capps, Adam Rubin caught up to the agent for Capps at the GM meetings and had the following to say;

Paul Kinzer sees a match between client Matt Capps and the Mets, who need a closer. And Kinzer intimated there already had been dialogue between the parties.

“Yeah, I could see it,” Kinzer said about a fit with the Mets.

Asked if he had seen the interest already, Kinzer smiled and repeated: “I could see it.” source ESPN NY


Capps is a 28 y/o right handed reliever, the good in obtaining Capps is that he's healthy and not coming back from an injury the bad is that he has struggled to keep the closers role.  Capps played his first five seasons with the Pirates in which he had a 3.61 ERA and amassed 67 saves. In Pittsburgh he never had more then 27 saves as he was mostly the set-up man for Mike González and Salomón Torres. 

After the 2009 season he was non-tendered and signed a one year deal with The Nats for 3.5M.  He only played a half a season in Washington where he earned 26 saves with an ERA 2.74.  He was traded mid-season to the Twins where he took over closing for Jon Rauch, he ended the season with 27 saves and an ERA of 2.00. 

He re-signed with the Twins for the 2011 season at 7.15M, he would go back and forth with Joe Nathan in the closer's role.  Making 69 appearances but only recording 15 saves with an ERA of 4.25.

Capps has a mid-nineties fastball and a nasty slider...